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Back on May 5th, the day before I left for Vegas, I reminded our Members on "Federally Fueled Thursday – Don’t Get Excited!" – as we were coming off a Powell-fuled rally – that coming back to S&P 4,300 at the time – was nothing to celebrate and, in fact, we took that opportunity to press our hedges. ....
Powell emphasized we have maybe two half-point hikes ahead of us and the market loves it this morning! Yield curves are flat, which reliably predict every recession – gotta love that! 3.5M people have left Ukraine, causing a refugee crisis in the rest of the World – more love. One-month anniversary of a war that s getting worse – love it. ....
Come on, this is silly: Now the entire stock market is trading like BitCoin. It s hard to call yourself an investor when the market can swing like this in a 24-hour period, isn t it? At least in Vegas, you know why you won or lost – the little ball fell on a red number, not a black or whatever. Try, on the other hand to explain why the Nasdaq fell 7% on Wednesday and then gained 7.6% on Thursday – there s no logic to it. ....
WAR!!! What is it good for? Well it s great for commodities as Oil (/CL) has jumped up to test $100 per barrell and Gasoline (/RB) has popped over $3 and Natural Gas (/NG) is surprisingly lagging at $4.83 – but it will get there shortly (we played it long at $4.57 in yesterday s Live Member Chat Room). ....
Sanctions! That s how the US and NATO are responding to Putin s entry into the Ukraine and note there is only one red box in the area we re paying attention to but many, many red boxes now surrounding the country. ....