tomorrow during this may 9th commemoration. he will be speaking on red square. putin s forces do control a large stretch of land in southern and eastern ukraine stretching from crimea to the donbas. do you believe there s a chance that he stops there or do you believe there s signs that he will keep going, try to take odesa and the black sea and try for kyiv? odesa would be the more immediate concern for the ukrainians than kyiv. putin would have to have success along the whole of the black sea coast, but likely before he would want to turn and commit forces against kyiv. if he had swift success, that might encourage him to do that. the balance for him at the moment is to consider whether or not he continues calling this a special military operation or he decides to declare a war, which could imply conscription, of which there is a big anti