Have 13 uncalled races, and this was really starting to look shaky for them over the weekend in terms of getting to 218, as the numbers have started to come in from california. they have been favorable to republicans, and republicans need to win three from the list here. michelle steel, a republican, and her lead grew north of 13,000 votes here. still more to come. and i think republicans are doing very good in the 45th district, and if they get that, 216. and then the 27th district, mike garcia, and this is the rematch of the second closest house race in the country, and the democrat all but conceded this race on twitter the other day, and we have not called it.
Won two house districts. if you zoom out and look where things stand for the house right now, it s basically this. republicans right now are sitting on 215 seats. democrats are sitting here on 207. here are the uncalled democrat versus republican seats. take a look, the reason they feel confident is they need three. take a look at a couple. 27th district of california, mike garcia has an advantage of nearly ten points. the democrat all but conceded. the 41st district, ken calvert leading here. the 45th district, michelle steel expanded her lead. the 3rd district, the republican candidate with republican areas to come here, opening up an advantage of 10,000 votes. that s four right there in
Races. it s a steep hill. it could go through a couple of them quickly. keeping that math in mind that republicans need seven from this list, there s a couple there s a bunch here, actually, where they seem very well positioned. fifth district of oregon, most of the vote is in. more than a 7,000 vote lead for the republican right there. 22nd district of new york. not much left to come there. california s 45th district, about two-thirds of the vote is in. michelle steel the republican leading there. 27th district of california, the republican up double digit. the democrat all but conceded the race on twitter yesterday. again, new vote came in over the weekend. the republican in a close race but he extended his lead and the biggest problem for democrats right now is the first district
A net gain, in what is a red seat now. what does that do to the map in terms of overall house control here. right now, republicans will have at least 212 seats, and democrats will have at least 206 seats. remember you need 218 for a majority. on this list now, you can see, there are 17 outstanding democrat versus republican races that nbc news has not called. so of those 17, republicans need six. and they ll have a majority. of those 17, democrats need a dozen. they need 12 to get to a majority. the trouble democrats face right now as you can see with the oregon call here, if republicans need six more to get to 218, you can see at least six where they re leading and where democrats are going to need something kind of surprising to happen here to catch. for instance, new york s 22nd district, still some votes to come. but that s a 4,000 vote lead for the republican there. that could be difficult for democrats to overcome. california s 45th district, michelle steel, leading by more
But when do you think we may have a better sense when we can make an official projection here? i think we re starting to get a pretty good sense. it is a very clear path that exists for republicans to hit that magic number. on the right-hand side of the screen, these are the uncalled race, uncalled democrat versus republican races. there are a total of 17 of them. right now, republicans will have at least 212 seats. democrats will have at least 206. now if you say there are 17 in this uncalled category right here, so it means republicans need to get six of those 17, and they ll be at 218. democrats would need 12 of these 17, and they would be at 218. so when i say there is a clear path that seems to be opening up for republicans, to get those six, i ll just take you through it right here. starting in new york s 22nd district, most of the vote is in. it s a 4,000 vote lead for the republican there. the race hasn t been called. very difficult to see the democrats overcoming that. we ll