Any attorney defend bill cosbys horrendous resume . Caution, you are about to enter the no spin zone. The factor begins right now. V hi, im bill oreilly. Thanks for watching us tonight. The truth about guns in america. That is the subject of this evenings talking points memo. President obama is taking his cause to the public that there should be tighter restrictions on who is allow to do buy firearms in america. Today he said this and from every family who never imagined that their loved one would be taken from our lives by a bullet from a gun, every time i think about those kids, it gets me mad. And by the way, it happens on the streets of chicago every day. [ applause ] mr. Obama is obviously sincere in his quest for more Public Safety, but he is missing the big picture. According to the latest fbi stats, slightly more than 8,000 people were victims of firearm murders in 2014. There were 118,000 robberies involving a firearm. And almost 150,000 aggravated as[ involving guns. The population of the u. S. A. Is approaching 330 million. So you can see there is not a gun crime epidemic. And the vast majority of these heinous crimes are committed by hard core criminals, not civilian shooters. Right now, there are more than 300 million firearms in america. And they are currently all over the place. So there will be a thriving black market for guns no matter what kind of registration laws are passed. As far as terrorist related firearm killings in the u. S. A. . There have been 88 deaths in the past 10 years by armed terrorists. Not an epidemic. Now, talking points understands Public Safety and reasonable gun registration laws should, should be on the books. But perspective is very important and restricting law abiding americans from acquiring guns is obviously unconstitutional. Again, the gun violence problem primarily lies with hard core criminals. So where iseu the federal law that mandates strict prison time for anyone using a gun in the commission of a crime . Where is that law mr. President . You mentioned chicago. That law could do something about gun violence in chicago. You simply cant leave sentencing to local judges if you want to control gun violence on a national level. You cant do it. Talking points has said it before. Any person convicted of a gunrelated crime should get 10 years in prison on top of what they get for the crime. Whether its assault, murder, or robbery. That would send a meaningful message. The truth is, terrorists are not going to submit themselves to background checks. Neither are or insane people. They are not going to sign any paper when they buy a gun. Do we all get that . They will buy their guns on the black market. And no registration law will prevent that. On the and the gun owners should be reasonable. The fbi should background check anyone buying a firearm in america. That just makes sense. If you are paranoid and believe the government is stockpiling information so they can come to your house and take your guns, thats your problem, your problem. But the government has an obligation to enhance Public Safety. And that brings us back to harshly punishing people who violate the law with guns. Registration is not going to solve the gun murder problem. Zero tolerance toward gun crime might. Think about it, mr. President. Thats the memo. Now for the top story tonight, reaction. Joining us from palm beach, Florida Democratic strategist, a georgetown law professor who worked for the clinton administration. Where am i going wrong, professor . Well, bill, i want to start on a positive note and thank you for saying that background checks make sense. And i think that hasu become unnecessarily politicized that issue. So lets start there. They do work. There is evidence of based on states experiences that when background checks are increased, gun deaths go down. When they are decreased, gun deaths go up. Thats a given. You can give me one state though . Can you back that up with state stats . Go. Yes. The state of missouri according to Johns HopkinsUniversity Research when background checks were reversed 40 increase in violent crime. Connecticut when their background checks werein increased 33 decrease in violent crime. We dont know yet about connecticut because its too early to tell. Im talking about mid 1996 and 2005. Thats a a pretty big sample size. I can counter with chicago and the illinois gun laws which are very stringent, very hard to buy a gun in that state and very hard to buy a gun in chicago. Yet, gun violence is off the chart in the precincts of South Chicago and the ghettos because they are gun criminals who arent buying guns through gun dealers. So if i may, bill, this does bring up an issue. How much of a decrease is enough for it to matter are . And quite frankly, you are a man of faith like me. I turn to the bible on this one. There is a story in genesis of abraham arguing with god before god destroys sod dom and go gomorrah. Would you do it if 50 righteous people or 10 righteous people . He is saying in essence to god sometimes withholding that violent act just in the name of a few innocence is enough very important lesson out of the bible for us right now. Maybe so. Im interested in Real Solutions to real problems. Know momiki how do you see. It i commend you as well for calling for sensible gun laws. Congress has been blind to the gun epidemic violence in chicago or the south orf the Mass Shootings or the fact that we are in the fifth day of the year and there has been over 120 gun related deaths due to gun violence. Congress hasnt been answering because they are owned by the gun manufacturers. Nomiki they dont feel. 300 million a year to lobbying though. Thats a lot of money. 300 million. There are people in your own party who dont want to restrict law abiding people from acquiring firearms. All right. Because its unconstitutional. Thats the genesis. Nobody is saying that. Look, gun registration, you both must understand is not going to stop charleston where the kid was given a gun by his father, okay . San bernardino, where the terrorists were given guns by some nut who got them legally. All right. Its not going to stop it. And to perpetuate this myth, professor, that a gun registration and president obama is in tears pleading for it is going to make things better, it isnt. All right . There are always going to be these kinds of things. Bill, how many innocent lives are are enough . So in this case suicides are a great example. Two thirds of deaths by handguns are by suicides and that brings us right into. Suicides is a whole different question. Well, its a Mental Health debate. Mental health had. I want more Mental Health and part of the president s presentation which was lost in the politics is that we have to have more stringent Mental Health reporting and im for that. Right. You guys have to understand that law abiding people registering their guns is not going to stop charleston or connecticut can or terrorism. The only thing that will stop it . It will stop the majority of them though. No, it wont. Nomiki you are living in a world of your own with hundred million guns on the streets momiki you can get a gun walk into the wrong neighborhood and flash a cash and you will get it . Thats because some states have loser gun laws. When you look at chicago, thats coming in from states that have looser gun laws. They are smuggling them. In this plan is about cracking down on those individuals. No matter what im i say you are not going to accept it professor, 10 seconds, go. Black market sales without registration in 1994, legislators in connecticut said it wouldnt work and it did. Remember, connecticut is is a very rural state with only two urban areas hartford and new haven. Guys, i appreciate the lively debate. Thank you. Next on the rundown, donald trump enjoying big crowds even in liberal places. Words in the english language you should not say ever. [ cough ] no matter what nasty cold symptoms you get, alka seltzer plus liquid gels rush liquid fast relief to your tough cold symptoms. And they outsell mucinex liquid gels 2 to 1. Alka seltzer plus liquid gels. Campaign 2016 segment tonight, no meaningful polling to tell you about this year. A new poll from nbc and survey monkey is not scientific. Although it has donald trump leading big. Last night after he spoke to us on the factor, trump headed out to the very liberal state of massachusetts. Security at the event also extremely tight. This was a line of people waiting to get in. The line so long that it snaked more than a block away. Straight outfront and no bs. I think the country is going the wrong direction. I think we are sliding down and we need a change. Joining us now from austin, texas, karl rove. Last o night we talked about both Political Parties in trouble in the sense that they are losing credibility with their own voters, with their own people. Thats why i trump has risen. Question tonight is can trump actually win the republican nomination in your opinion . Yeah, sure he can. But will he is going to be a big question because while he leads nationally with 35 of the vote and isrm second in iowa with about 27. 4 and leads in New Hampshire with 26. 3 , the question is how much of the rest of that, you know, 60 , 75 electorate is going to be available to him inside the republican party. He has a high floor but may have a low ceiling. People who like him have already have stated and thats why he is so far ahead had and may not be able to convert others over so much air time and so much exposure. Everybody knows who he is unlike marco rubio and john kasich. They know trump and what he is saying and following it. And may not be able to rally any more than. I understand it with what he has now which is about a third of the republican voting in the primary, is that a enough to get him the nomination in cleveland . Well, it depends on two things, i think. One is how can you tell up these early primaries and caucuses are between february 1st and the 14th of march, there is only one winner take all, south carolina, the early four states that are allowed to decide winner take all or proportional. All the rest of them have to be proportional up to the is 14th of march. The first question is how can you tell up is that early phase . The rules are such that in some instances if you get 5 of the vote in massachusetts, for example, you get a delegate. Threshold is 15 or 20 in other. Winning in New Hampshire i think he will and i think cruz will probably win in iowa. You concur on that, right . Yeah, yeah. Everybody takes away some, they will arrive in cleveland with no over the top winner and certainly the party elders do not want donald trump. Yeah, two things. One is i do think that we are going to have a a win winnowing process. Only five candidates left in early march and probably less by the middle of march. Second big question is are we down to two or three candidates . Trump, somebody else and somebody else at most by the time we get to the winner take all state starting on the 15th of march. The ides of march, bad for caesar could be bad for somebody else. You do have to consider that trump will be in it, rubio will be in it, cruz will be in it, bush will be in it and maybe christie. Yeah. I think those are the five with all due respect to the other candidates i could be wrong on that. Well, if there are five candidates in that, then trump gets the advantage because on the ides of march, you have 66 delegates up in ohio. Winner take all statewide level. More delegates in florida. Winner take all Congressional District level. You have five candidates at that point then the odds of trump becoming the nominee are very high. If its shrunk down to two to three and con sal accommodation of the nontrump vote there is a good chance that he does not become the nominee. Thats very fascinating and interesting. I understand over the holiday youb apprehended two illegal aliens in texas it. They were apprehended Border Patrol we discovered them in the middle of our hunting lease and called the Border Patrol. In two guys hanging out under neat the not trying to hide. One of them obviously in distress. Both of them dressed in black which the Border Patrol guys tell you new south texas is not a good sign. If they are dressed in black these guys are pros and one was in very bad shape. After our truck surrounded the not, he came out and surrendered in return for water and chocolate. The other guys pretty defiant. He snuck out of the back of the not. Crawled out in order to hide something. And then when he realized he didnt have any options, he stood up, raised his hands and started walking north knowing that we wouldnt shoot him so a couple trailed him until the Border Patrol showed up and grabbed him. I think they had seen these actors before. And Border Patrol guys got there as quick as they could. They were very clear they said we need help. Weave dont have enough resources. We need more assistance and the border is not safe. Well, i believe that mr. Rove, thanks as always. We appreciate it quick footnote karls book the triumph of mckinley. Crazy winter in america. Many are suffering because of it. What is going on here. Here in new york city you could be punished if you called a transgendered person the wrong name. Up ahead. Id like to make a dep vo it happens so often, you almost get used to it. We got this. Vo which is why being put first takes some getting used to. 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Or was it that tree . man the twentysixteen subaru outback. Love. Its what makes a subaru, a subaru. Impact segment tonight. Crazy weather. In the west, midwest, south, people are being punished by heavy rain and outofseason storms like tornadoes. Here in the northeast the weather has been very warm so far so what is going on. With us now michael, from the outfit weathujn 2000. Lets take the west first raining in Southern California hard. Does this mean the drought is over there . I dont think so, bill. The drought is three to four years long now, very intense, stark proportions. A lot of areas are two, three, even five feet below normal rainfall, so this might be be a proverbial drop in the bucket. Cant they store the water in when it comes in this heavy though with irrigation and things like that . This has got to help all of this wet weather out there, no . Yeah. Thats the difference between reservoir grout. The farmers dont want it all at once because it runs off faucet under a dry sponge. They can collect the water. It helps better than nothing. Its a far way to go. El nino in the pacific is responsible for the changing winter patterns. Just briefly explain el nino. Well, el nino is basically a warming of the pacific waters. And i think one with of the problems this year is that people are basing their research on the el ninos of the 1980s and 1990s. Yeah. What happened in thea yeah it triggers atmospheric responses. That doesnt have anything to do with Global Warming because el nino has been around for ever. Yeah it happens every several years. Do you know what el nino means. The child. Happened around christmas time for the fishermen. In the west they are getting a lot of snow for their skiing and pretty cool out there, correct . In the Mountain Time zone . Yeah. So el nino would normally insinuate that no cold air comes down from canada but the Western Plains and rockies have been receiving a lot of cold weather and a lot of snow all the way down to the rio grande. Thats different from the past . Yeah, absolutely the past month. Texas and parts of the south you have got tornadoes hitting down there and you have got flooding in the mississippi, missouri is really impacted. Whats that all about . Well, december tornadoes arent that unusual but it was unusual to see a strong ef4 tornado in the dallas area in december. So all those things combined was a little bit unusual but tornadoes in december not that crazy. Mississippi, flooding in the winter is unusual. Its usually in the spring. Yes. Absolutely. Thats actually more indicative of a lal nina pattern. Why is it happening though . Why are this Mississippi River flooding. Our contention is that el nino is kind can of inverse or reverse el nino very eclectic one. Operating in opposite fashion. More rain in the midwest then. And snow for the colder locations, absolutely. Here in the northeast, after two brutal winters, we have been having a run of very nice weather here. Yes and no. The eastern United States has had five consecutive mild decembers. So we really havent. 65 degrees on Christmas Eve . I mean, come on. Well, one year before that we were at 62 degrees in new york city on christmas day. So are you saying that he were going to have terrible weather, cold weather in january and february . I think our new winter for the east especially is january through april. So still buckle your seat belts. I dont want to buckle my seat belt because i want to get inside. I dont want to be in a car. Okay. Are you predicting a very tough winter for the northeast in the next two or three months . Not as consistently cold as the last two years but volatile, harsh, cold and stormy. Last question in california is the crazinesscoyu< in california