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The secured overnight financing rate will become the main replacement for Libor in US financial markets, according to a number of experts speaking at the International Swaps and Derivatives Association’s annual general meeting, despite the emergence of some alternative lending rates.
The development of the SOFR market in the US has been slow, with interest-rate swaps tied to the new reference rate making up less than 2% of US trading volumes, according to data from IHS Markit, compared to over half of sterling swap trading volumes being linked to the UK s sterling overnight index average, or Sonia.
US loan markets, in particular, have been reluctant to move away from Libor and some borrowers are exploring the use of credit-sensitive reference rates instead of SOFR, which is virtually risk-free.
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Week Ahead – Dollar declines after massive payrolls miss; Focus shifts to inflation
May 7, 2021SharePrint
Wall Street went on a wild ride after a huge nonfarm payroll report miss reaffirms the Fed’s stance to do nothing. A massive slowdown in hiring was not expected and the knee-jerk reaction across the bond market might have paved the way for further dollar weakness. The US economic recovery will likely take a lot longer than many have initially expected as concerns grow that the issue with the labor market is more of a supply problem.
The aftermath of the massive payroll’s downside surprise will have many investors shift the focus to pricing pressures. Everything is starting to cost more, and employers may need to be prepared to increase wages. The big economic release of the week will be the US April inflation report, which will see the “base-effects” in annual inflation due to the shock that hit the US economy last year. Investors will also pay close attent
LIBOR (London inter-bank offered rate) will be phased out by the end of this year and borrowers must act now to agree the transition process with their lenders and hedge counterparties. But what is the best approach when lenders’ and hedge counterparties’ transition processes are moving at different speeds?
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