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Home Prices Are Soaring So Fast, They Are Negating The Benefits Of Low Mortgage Rates

by Tyler Durden Friday, May 14, 2021 - 02:59 PM A recent report in the Wall Street Journal that cited data from the National Association of Realtors and Fannie Mae caught our eye by highlighting an unfortunate reality of low interest rates: while they initially help even the playing field and make homes more affordable for more Americans, after a while, price appreciation will ultimately make housing less accessible for middle- and working-class Americans. Using data combined with anecdotes from home buyers, WSJ illustrated how the rapid pace of price appreciation over the last year is affecting the outlook for the housing market, as high prices negate the impact of mortgage rates that are still near record lows.

Home Price Surge Negating Benefits of Low Mortgage Rates

Home Price Surge Negating Benefits of Low Mortgage Rates Price appreciation to make housing less accessible for middle-class Americans. Image Credit: Email A recent report in the Wall Street Journal that cited data from the National Association of Realtors and Fannie Mae caught our eye by highlighting an unfortunate reality of low interest rates: while they initially help even the playing field and make homes more affordable for more Americans, after a while, price appreciation will ultimately make housing less accessible for middle- and working-class Americans. Using data combined with anecdotes from home buyers, WSJ illustrated how the rapid pace of price appreciation over the last year is affecting the outlook for the housing market, as high prices negate the impact of mortgage rates that are still near record lows.

Calculated Risk

The Census Bureau released the Residential Vacancies and Homeownership report for Q1 2021. It is likely the results of this survey were significantly distorted by the pandemic.   This report is frequently mentioned by analysts and the media to track household formation, the homeownership rate, and the homeowner and rental vacancy rates.  However, there are serious questions about the accuracy of this survey. This survey might show the trend, but I wouldn t rely on the absolute numbers. Analysts probably shouldn t use the HVS to estimate the excess vacant supply or household formation, or rely on the homeownership rate, except as a guide to the trend.

The Mass Exodus From The West Coast Is Driving Home Prices In Idaho To Insane Levels

The Mass Exodus From The West Coast Is Driving Home Prices In Idaho To Insane Levels Lots of people have been moving away from the west coast over the last decade, but we have never seen the sort of mass exodus that we have seen over the last year.  This mass exodus has created some extremely hot real estate markets in desirable areas located away from the coast, and according to the Wall Street Journal the hottest real estate market in the entire country right now is Coeur d’Alene, Idaho.  Any house in the area that gets placed on the market is likely to spark a bidding war, and according to the Coeur d’Alene Association of Realtors the median price of a home in the region has risen by a whopping 47 percent in the last 12 months…

Calculated Risk

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