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While last year s U.S. presidential election was actually not really close, it was narrower than what many had expected. Donald Trump in particular outperformed his nationwide polling average by about 3% on election day. Would he have won reelection without the coronavirus? Nobody knows and you might think that the question is moot and academic. Well, first of all, I do have an academic background and part of my work, and second, I will tell you in a moment why I think the question is relevant. But to answer it first, yes, I do think that the race would have been closer without the pandemic. At the beginning of the election year, it looked like Trump would head into campaign season with the winds of a roaring economy at his back. Conventional wisdom has it that an incumbent with a booming economy and absent a major crisis, is difficult to beat. Now, this matters because it says as much about Trump as about the coron
Winfried Kretschmann of the Greens was re-elected as Minister-President of Baden-Wuerttemberg (Image: GETTY)
“Who can blame them after almost 16 years of being governed by Angela Merkel?
“The sheer duration of the incumbency is an important factor here.”
Assessing the election results yesterday, CDU general secretary Paul Ziemiak acknowledged: This is not a good election evening for the CDU.”
The CDU has seen its national popularity wane from 40 percent last June, when Germany was widely praised for its response to the coronavirus pandemic, to around 33 percent this month.
Angela Merkel factfile (Image: Express)
With Mrs Merkel due to step down as Chancellor after September’s federal elections, clouds of uncertainty are gathering, not least because it is far from certain who will replace her.
Angela Merkel timeline (Image: Express)
As for the left-leaning Social Democrats, he added: The SPD is also part of the national coalition.
“If they win in Rheinland-Palatinate, it gives them a day of good press, which is desperately needed.
“But the party has much more fundamental problems to deal with.
The struggles both major parties are facing may be a reflection of the frustration many Germans feel at the sluggish pace of Germany’s vaccine rollout.
Coronavirus cases worldwide (Image: Express)
As of Friday, Germany had administered 10.58 doses per 100 people, well behind the UK’s figure of 36.47, according to the Our World in Data website.
«Das Resultat ist keine Überraschung» toponline.ch - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from toponline.ch Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.