Weekly Fundamental Australian Dollar Forecast: Nothing to Like, No Saving Grace
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Fundamental Forecast for the Australian Dollar: Bearish
The third week of July brings about a quieter economic calendar for Australia; there are zero ‘high’ rated events on the DailyFX Economic Calendar.
The Citi Economic Surprise Index for Australia, a time-decay measure of data momentum, closed the week at +35.8, slightly lower than its closing level last week at +38.2.
Australian Dollar’s Tough Week
Nothing good is going on down under. Even though July typically brings about a better performance for the Australian Dollar, it has not showed. The Australian Dollarfinished the week at its weekly lows, monthly lows, and yearly lows. And its performance showed: AUD/JPY dropped by -1.33%; AUD/USD by -1.32%; EUR/AUD added +0.65%; and GBP/AUD gained +0.34%. Renewed lockdowns in the face of already sputtering economic data has left the Australian Dollar without any positive catalysts i
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Copper Price Forecast: Technicals Stabilizing, Fundamentals in Question
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Copper Price Outlook:
Copper prices have almost staged a meaningful recovery in July. Just not quite yet as more technical resistance remains overhead.
The demand side hasn’t recovered since news out of China that the government would release industrial metals stockpiles to cool their respective rallies.
Trading is a function of both price and time; the technical uncertainty can be resolved either through a correction in price action or more sideways chop.
Minor Recovery Thus Far
Ever since late-May, when news has emerged from China that officials would take steps to curb “unreasonable” price appreciation in industrial metals by releasing inventories, copper prices have been under pressure. But with the drop in US Treasury yields alongside US equity markets pushing to fresh record highs (again), risk appetite is on the up-and-up, offering narrative relief for embattled copper prices.