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Dan Schnur, professor at the University of California, Berkeley, and host of the “Politics in the Time of Coronavirus” weekly webinar, said the Republicans challenging Mr. Newsom on the recall ballot still face an uphill fight, but that “COVID could be the great equalizer.” “For most of the year, COVID has been Newsom’s biggest opponent and best ally,” Mr. Schnur said in an email. “The recall caught fire during the worst of last winter’s outbreak, and Newsom rebounded in the spring when things began to open up again. So if voters are getting more worried about masks and vaccines again, that creates a much bigger political challenge for him.”

United statesSacramento countyNapa countyLos angeles countyLos angelesMarkz barabakKevin faulconerSteven maviglioEleni kounalakisGavin newsomKevin kileyJoshua spivakDan schnurDoug oseJohn coxUniversity of california