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Inflation fears push gold & silver to three-month highs
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Inflation fears push gold & silver to three-month highs
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Inflation fears push gold & silver to three-month highs
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May 7, 2021
As investors look to growth in a post-vaccine world, exchange traded fund enthusiasts should consider the role commodities play under the cloud of accelerating inflation.
“Commodities may provide a uniquely valuable diversifying component to any long-term investment portfolio,” Ed Egilinsky, Head of Alternatives, Direxion, said in the recent webcast
Egilinsky argued that commodities represent a significant portion of the CPI’s volatility, resulting in a positive and often out-sized response to inflation. Their low correlation to equity and fixed income can lead to enhanced risk-adjusted returns. Commodity markets offer unique active trading opportunities for capable investment managers to generate alpha.
Commodity prices spike
Commodity prices spike
Print
Commodity prices have surged over the past year as demand recovers and the global economy improves. The Bloomberg Commodity index, a basket that includes gold, crude oil, natural gas and corn, was above 80 at the end of the first quarter from the low 60s a year ago, a 35% year-over-year increase. Prices continued rising, and the index is currently above 90.
The index s all-time high was around 235 in mid-2008, more than 2.5 times the level at the end of 2001.
However, many of the July futures contracts trade higher than those that expire in about a year. Out of the 23 commodities, 19 trade at a discount or flat compared with the near-term contract.