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Scotland In a huge set of local elections, it is results in Scotland that could have the most significant impact. A majority for the SNP will see a second independence referendum heave into view, despite the UK government’s insistence that it will not offer one. The elections for Holyrood will also demonstrate whether Alex Slamond and his Alba party have any significant support. The stakes are high. Labour has been putting great efforts into a recovery in Scotland, so its performance will also be worth watching. Wales According to several polls, Labour could be facing its worst set of results in Senedd elections since devolution in 1999, but there has been significant volatility in the recent polling. Labour still seems odds-on to be the biggest party, but the Conservatives are looking to make gains. Meanwhile, nationalist Plaid Cymru is making independence a big part of its pitch – a change from past elections. These elections for the Senedd are also the first in which 16- an

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