Expected Points Added
I’ve also calculated Expected Points Added for all the plays, which we get from knowing every down/distance/field position has a value, based on how many points an average offense is likely to score that drive. So for example:
It’s 3rd and 14 on the Indiana 42 = 1.3 expected points
Ronnie Bell makes a 17-yard catch.
Now it’s 1st and 10 on the Indiana 25 = 4.3 expected points
Ronnie Bell’s catch equals 4.3 minus 1.3, or
3 EP.
I treated touchdowns as 6.971 points, and adjusted all of these for opponent, based on Bill Connelly s SP+. So for example this play which started at 1st and 10 from the Michigan 30 (1.3 EP) was adjusted down from 5.66 to 5.38 because Minnesota’s defense is terrible.
Michigan RB Gaige Garcia enters NCAA transfer portal mlive.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from mlive.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.
Michigan Wolverines football freshman running back Blake Corum scored two touchdowns in his first season. (USA TODAY Sports Images) I learned that itâs bigger than football. Everyone from the team can play football. It comes down to what your IQ is like, Corum said. Can you read the defenses? Can you read the over and under fronts? Can you tell which blitz is coming? Thatâs where I had to go with it. I knew I could play, I knew I had speed, I knew I had power â but I feel I was lacking the IQ part. So I really took time and got in the classroom, really just understanding everything as a student of the game.
There is also plenty of excitement within the Michigan fan base, and program, about freshman early enrollee
J.J. McCarthy, a former four-star, top-50 recruit nationally. J.J. was terrific as a mid-year freshman, and got himself all the way up to No. 2 [on the depth chart], Harbaugh revealed.
And then there is freshman
Dan Villari, who did not appear in a game last season. At 6-4, 227 pounds, Villari is a dual-threat quarterback with a lot of strength. Harbaugh said the Wolverines are experimenting with some of the things they can do with Villari, moving him around and finding a way to get him on the field.