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A Semitechnical Introductory Dialogue on Solomonoff Induction

LESSWRONG 88 ( Originally posted in December 2015: A dialogue between Ashley, a computer scientist who s never heard of i.  Unbounded analysis BLAINE:  Good evening, Msr. Ashley. ASHLEY:  I ve heard there s this thing called Solomonoff s theory of inductive inference . BLAINE:  The rumors have spread, then. ASHLEY:  Yeah, so, what the heck is that about? BLAINE:  Invented in the 1960s by the mathematician Ray Solomonoff, the key idea in Solomonoff induction is to do sequence prediction by using Bayesian updating on a prior composed of a mixture of all computable probability distributions ASHLEY:  Wait. Back up a lot. Before you try to explain what Solomonoff induction

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