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Cuba’s sagging economy, regime change, and U.S. policy Click to read this article in English Photo Credit: Adobe Stock Images  The Cuban economy is in a bad state. Over the past three years it has been hit hard by the U.S. embargo of Venezuela (which undercuts Caracas’ ability to provide badly needed external support), the Trump administration’s imposition of economic sanctions on Cuba itself, and the COVID-19 pandemic shut down the tourist industry throughout most of 2020. The economy is expected to contract by six percent this year, with considerable uncertainty hanging over 2021. Add to this mix the U.S. elections; if Democratic challenger Joe Biden is elected there could be a reset in relations, which could help the tourist sector but see greater action on human rights, while a second term of Republican Donald Trump could bring an even greater tightening of U.S. policies with the end-game being regime change in Havana. Cuba is likely to be high on the U.S. foreign polic

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