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Wall Street’s “fear gauge” is in a bubble, according to analysts at J.P. Morgan.
Investor appetite for protective options has kept the Cboe Volatility Index elevated despite muted moves on the benchmark S&P 500, according to the bank. The gap between investor expectations for volatility in U.S. stocks, as measured by the VIX, and actual moves on the S&P 500 is near its highest levels over the past 30 years, said Marko Kolanovic, J.P. Morgan’s global head of macro quantitative and derivatives strategy.
VIX ETFs Surge as Volatility Makes Biggest Jump in Two Years January 29, 2021
After declining steadily since last April and undergoing a quiet consolidation since November, market volatility, as measured by the VIX, posted its biggest jump in two years this week after market participants saw one of the sharpest sell-offs in the S&P 500 since October.
The Cboe Volatility Index, also known as the VIX, or ‘fear index’, which measures the market’s projections of volatility in the coming month, rocketed 62%, from below 25 to 37.32, as retail traders continued to fight against hedge funds, using names like GameStop as fodder.
While the VIX has seen its fair share of pops and drops, analysts are giving special attention to this move due to its violence and size.
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