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Inflation isn’t out of control yet, governor, but can you reassure us it won’t be? © Provided by The Guardian Photograph: Reuters The UK’s annual rate of consumer price inflation was 2.5% in June, we learned last week, up from just 0.7% in March. It has arrived at that point sooner than almost every economist had expected in the spring. Now the forecasters agree 3% is a nailed-on certainty this year, with a few saying 4% will be seen. There is a strong sense of the economy changing quickly. You can see it in the volume of transactions that have driven house prices up by 10% in the year to May, and in reports of staff shortages from pubs, restaurants, haulage companies and housebuilders.

United kingdomCity ofNoord hollandAndrew haldaneEd milibandEd sheeranNadine shahMichael saundersRichard hughesDave ramsdenAlan turingLeonard blavatnikAndrew baileyDepartment for digitalOffice for budget responsibilityCenter parcs