May 25, 2021 12:50 AM
Bettors have a loaded menu of sweats to choose from today, including 15 MLB games, 2 NBA playoff games and 2 NHL playoff games. For an updated breakdown of Tuesday s betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at 1 p.m. ET. I ll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 5 p.m. ET to go over all of today s action in greater depth.
In the meantime, let s discuss a trio of MLB games today receiving notable sharp action.
7:05 p.m. ET: Toronto Blue Jays (23-23) at New York Yankees (28-19)
vs Panthers
The hardest games would likely be at the Rams, at the Patriots, at the Colts and vs the Bills. Maybe the Bucs split with the Saints. Even if Tampa loses all five of those games, they still go 12-5. For these reasons, the over 11.5 seems highly intriguing.
Now it s on to Fade the Public Friday where we have a loaded betting menu filled with 16 MLB games, 8 NBA games and one NHL game. For an updated breakdown of Friday s action, including the top line moves, systems plays and sharp contrarian bets, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at 1 p.m. ET. I will be joining Patrick Meagher and Michael Lombardi on The Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET to offer a market update. I ll also be on Rush Hour with Danny Burke at 7 p.m. ET to update some late night moves.
May 12, 2021 12:55 AM
Bettors have a plethora of sweats from which to choose today, including 15 MLB games, 6 NBA games and 5 NHL games. For an updated breakdown of Wednesday s betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at 1 p.m. ET. I ll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3-5 p.m. ET to go over all of today s action in greater depth.
In the meantime, let s discuss a few MLB games today receiving notable sharp action today.
12:10 p.m. ET: Baltimore Orioles (16-20) at New York Mets (17-13)
May 11, 2021 03:25 AM
NBA overs went 4-2 on Monday night, continuing their hot streak as we approach the end of the regular season. So far in the month of May, overs are 43-34 (56%). A $100 bettor taking each over this month would be up roughly $700. This is notable because overs went just 49.9% prior to the month of May. In essence, overs are cashing as a 6.1% higher clip this month than in previous months. The top May over betting system has been when the total rises at least a half point. In these situations, the over is 24-11 (69%).
Why are NBA overs crushing it this final month? It s likely a confluence of factors, including some teams tanking and playing zero defense while others have completely different motivations in terms of seeding or battling to make (or avoid) the play-in tournament. Tired legs could also be a factor, as the long grind is coming to an end and we had a quick turnaround from last year s bubble. Whatever the case may be, overs continue to be a winnin
May 10, 2021 01:08 AM
Yesterday, we saw MLB unders go 8-5. This has coincided with an intriguing trend we ve seen so far this season, as Sunday Unders are now 46-33 (58.2%, + 10 units). Why is this notable? Because on every other day of the week, the under is just 198-213 (48.2%, -28 units). Because it s a small sample, we will have to keep tracking this to see if it s actionable or not. However, the theory behind it makes some sense. Sundays are getaway days. Teams are wrapping up their latest series and looking to move on. Maybe this mindset has contributed to an environment that benefits pitchers over hitters. Or who knows, maybe the umpires are employing bigger strike zones because it s getaway day. Either way, the data shows that Sundays are for the unders (at least for now).