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Ghosts of taper tantrum to haunt EMFX, stir volatility memories

Vivek MishraVuyani Ndaba 4 minute read A worker prepares bundles of rupiah bank notes in Bank Mandiri in Jakarta July 9, 2013. REUTERS/Supri/File Photo Summary reuters://realtime/verb=Open/url=cpurl://apps.cp./Apps/fx-polls?RIC=CNY= yuan poll data reuters://realtime/verb=Open/url=cpurl://apps.cp./Apps/fx-polls?RIC=RUB= rouble poll data reuters://realtime/verb=Open/url=cpurl://apps.cp./Apps/fx-polls?RIC=TRY= lira poll data reuters://realtime/verb=Open/url=cpurl://apps.cp./Apps/fx-polls?RIC=INR= rupee poll data BENGALURU/JOHANNESBURG, July 2 (Reuters) - Volatility risks in coming months are high on the radar of emerging market currency investors still familiar with past Fed tightening, a Reuters poll of strategists found, but commodity prices are offering support amid slow vaccination rates.

Ghosts of taper tantrum to haunt EMFX, stir volatility memories: Reuters poll

Ghosts of taper tantrum to haunt EMFX, stir volatility memories: Reuters poll By Vivek Mishra and Vuyani Ndaba Reuters BENGALURU/JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) - Volatility risks in coming months are high on the radar of emerging market currency investors still familiar with past Fed tightening, a Reuters poll of strategists found, but commodity prices are offering support amid slow vaccination rates. Having more than reversed a pandemic-induced slump and hit a record high last month, the wider index of emerging market currencies fell to over a one-month low after the Fed projected an acceleration to its policy tightening timeline. Wary that U.S. stimulus could be tapered sooner, in coming months investors may shun the currencies coined the fragile five of Brazil, India, Indonesia, Turkey and South Africa, as they did in 2013 when the Fed tightened rates.

Dollar s near-term outlook bright, but to fade in a year

Rahul Karunakar 4 minute read A man counts U.S. dollar banknotes at a currency exchange shop in Beirut, Lebanon, June 11, 2021. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir Summary https://apac1.apps.cp.thomsonreuters.com/Apps/fx-polls poll data Reuters poll graphic on the EUR/USD and U.S. 10-year Treasury yield outlook: https://tmsnrt.rs/3jxxC8T Reuters poll graphic on currency market outlook: https://tmsnrt.rs/3jy062o BENGALURU, July 2 (Reuters) - Near-term bets in favour of the dollar should be increased, a majority of analysts in Reuters polls said, who however were split on the duration of the greenback s bullish trend and forecast its allure to fade in a year.

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