Government Executive
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Our natural optimism points in one direction, even as recent history points in another.
Last spring, Jared Kushner predicted that the coronavirus pandemic would soon end and that the United States would be “really rocking again” by July. Some critics saw his statement, which proved so fatally wrong, as a form of deceit. I saw evidence of something more pitiful: Kushner had fallen prey to optimism bias and availability bias. Optimism clouded his judgment. He wanted things to be better in July, so he assumed they would be. And his thinking was limited by the examples from the recent past available to him. Had the country ever shut down for months in his lifetime? No. Therefore, that wouldn’t happen.
A Hopeful Pandemic Note: Tanglewood Music Festival to Resume
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A hopeful pandemic note: Tanglewood music festival to resume
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A Hopeful Pandemic Note: Tanglewood Music Festival to Resume
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