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Bitcoin Rally Similarities – Is This The Peak? :: The Market Oracle ::

The recent rally in Bitcoin is strangely similar to the rally that took place in 2017.  Although the range of price throughout the rally is somewhat different, the structure of price throughout the rally phase is very similar.  Our researchers believe this similarity suggests a peak may be forming in Bitcoin and the big volume on Monday, December 21, 2020, may have represented a “blow-off peak” in price. Bitcoin 2017 Peak Structure The following Weekly Bitcoin chart highlights the three rally phases that took place before the peak level was reached in December 2017. Pay very close attention to the structure you are seeing on this chart and the highlights we’ve made to help you understand how the price structure is being mirrored in the current rally phase.

Gold, Silver, and SPY Trend Forecasts :: The Market Oracle ::

This second part of our special “What To Expect In 2021” article highlights our proprietary Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) price modeling system and is specifically authored to help you understand where trends, price rotations, and risks may set up throughout 2021.  In the first part of this article, we covered the ES, NQ, and INDU symbols – highlighting how each one of these US major indexes showed a moderately deep price correction would setup in Q2 or Q3 of 2021. The INDU showed the deepest correction event with a specific “ADL Price Anomaly” setup. This second part of the series will cover Gold, Silver, and the SPY. 

Long Term Gold / US Dollar Cycles Show Big Trends For Metals :: The Market Oracle ::

In the first part of our US$ and Gold research, we highlighted the US Dollar vs. Gold trends and how we believe precious metals have recently bottomed while the US Dollar may be starting a broad decline.  We are highlighting this because many of our friends and followers have asked us to put some research out related to the US Dollar decline.  Back in November, we published an article that highlighted the Appreciation/Depreciation phases of the market.  This past research article – How To Spot The End Of An Excess Phase – Part II – is an excellent review item for today’s Part II conclusion to our current article.

February 2020 COVID Breakdown Gap Acting As Support For Stock Market Rally :: The Market Oracle ::

The difference in the price setup of the initial February COVID-19 downside price gap on the INDU (Dow Jones Industrial Average) vs. the SPY (SPDR S&P500 ETF) clearly shows how this previous gap in price is acting as a critical support level for the current price rally.  When the downside price gap first started, near February 25th, 2020, technical traders immediately identified this “impulse gap” as an important price structure to watch in the future.  As the US stock markets recovered in late August/September, price levels began to attempt to “fill the gap” on the INDU chart.  On the SPY chart in August/September, prices filled the gap then rallied to new highs – initiating a new upside price rally attempt.

Custom Index Charts Suggest US Stock Market Ready For A Pause :: The Market Oracle ::

Weeks after the Election Rally initiated a moderately strong upside breakout rally, our Custom Index charts suggest the US stock market may be ready for a brief pause in trending before any new trends continue. Global traders and investors jumped into the US stock market just days before the US elections expecting something big to take place.  The rally that initiated just days before the US election pushed our Custom Index charts well into the upper range of the 2016 to 2018 upward sloping price channel.  This suggests the US stock markets have ended the downward price reversion and are now attempting to extend into the upward price channel – attempting to resume the upward trending that started after the 2016 elections.

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