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Economists expect RBA to ease stimulus

Economists expect RBA to ease stimulus
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CBA: RBA likely to taper bond purchases

MacroBusiness Access Subscriber Only Content By Gareth Aird, head of Australian economics at CBA Key Points At the July Board meeting the RBA will announce a decision on yield curve control and the bond buying program. We expect the RBA to maintain the April 24 bond as the target bond for yield curve control (i.e. not shift to the Nov 24 bond). We expect the RBA to announce that it will taper its bond buying program when the second $A100bn of bond purchases is completed in early September. We have pencilled in an announcement of a further $A50bn of bond buying over six months, but there is considerable uncertainty over this and the RBA may adopt a more flexible approach to tapering.

Australia, NZ dlrs on defensive as lockdowns spread

3 Min Read SYDNEY, June 30 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were under pressure on Wednesday as the spread of the highly infectious Delta variant of COVID-19 challenged confidence in economic recoveries both at home and globally. The Aussie lay at $0.7519, having fallen 0.7% overnight to erase four days of gains. The failure at resistance around $0.7616 and the retreat under the 200-day moving average at $0.7564, risks a test of the June trough of $0.7478. The kiwi faded to $0.6995, after also losing 0.7% to as low as $0.6980. That took it well away from last week’s rally top at $0.7095 and puts the focus back on the June low of $0.6923.

Wage recovery could arrive sooner than thought

It’s not yet time for wage-earners to pop the champagne. But there is potentially good news on pay lurking beneath the recent excitement about interest rates.

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