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Public health experts see signs of a third COVID-19 wave in Arizona
Public health experts say they are seeing signs of a third COVID-19 wave in Arizona as we are starting to see an exponential growth curve.
and last updated 2021-07-19 21:13:39-04
Public health experts say they are seeing signs of a third COVID-19 wave in Arizona as we are starting to see an exponential growth curve.
ABC15
ABC15 data analyst Garrett Archer said COVID-19 cases are rising for the seventh consecutive week. In the next few days, we should see cases doubling every week.
School districts will be unable to mandate any strict mitigation policies like universal mask-wearing after Arizona Governor Doug Ducey signed a bill that banned those local decisions.
Medical experts say there’s now no question Arizona is seeing an upward trend in COVID-19 infections. Arizona is now averaging more than 1,000 cases per day, more than double what the state was reporting a month ago.
“It’s hard for us in our modeling groups to understand how long this next wave might last or how bad it might get, but it looks like the start of another major or significant wave,” said Dr. Joe Gerald with the University of Arizona s Mel and Enid Zuckerman College of Public Health.
Gerald said new cases in Arizona are on the kind of upward trajectory the state has only seen before the big surges last winter and summer. With about half of the state s population now vaccinated, Gerald doesn’t expect this surge to be as severe as the previous one, but said that’s hard to predict.
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Arizona health officials say there is, definitely an uptick in COVID-19 cases across the state, likely due to the highly contagious delta variant.
Both vaccinated and unvaccinated Arizonans should care about the increase in cases because more transmission of the virus raises the likelihood of so-called breakthrough cases, Dr. Cara Christ, the Arizona Department of Health Services director, said this week.
A breakthrough case occurs when someone becomes infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus, or new coronavirus, that causes COVID-19, even though vaccinated. Such cases are rare, but they do happen.
As of Monday, Arizona had recorded 3,540 breakthrough COVID-19 cases out of more than 3.2 million fully vaccinated people, Steve Elliott, a state health department spokesperson, wrote in an email. Twenty-eight of those vaccinated people are known to have died from COVID-19, Elliott said.