Shares of sugar manufacturers and their allied companies continued their northward movement, ralling up to 75 per cent in the past one month on positive outlook, on Monday. The sugar industry, analysts say, is well poised to benefit from, both, global and domestic factors such as tight global demand-supply situation, favourable policies, push for higher ethanol blending in India and higher ethanol capacity addition.
Individually, Dhampur Sugar Mills, Praj Industries, Dwarikesh Sugar Industries and Triveni Engineering & Industries rallied in the range of 14 per cent to 19 per cent on the BSE in the intra-day trade on Monday while Dalmia Bharat Sugar and Industries, Uttam Sugar Mills, Avadh Sugar and Balrampur Chini Mills were up between 9 per cent and 10 per cent. In comparison, the benchmark S&P BSE Sensex was up 0.68 per cent.
A sharp drop in daily Covid-19 cases perked up bulls on Dalal Street on Monday as investors hoped for a sooner-than-expected taper down of the second wave. However, even though the new case count, at over 366,000 and 3,754 deaths, were off a little from recent peak, it came on the back of 1.47 million tests for Covid-19 which were this month s lowest yet. Nonetheless, domestic equity indices started gap-up and remained parked near the day s high level for the better part of the day. Among the frontline indices, the BSE barometer of 30-shares hit an intra-day high of 49,617 before ending the session at 49,502 levels, up 296 points or 0.6 per cent. About seven of the 30 constituents ended the day in the red including UltraTech Cement, Infosys, HCL Tech, Reliance Industries, Asian Paints, Bajaj Finserv, and Axis Bank. The stocks declined up to 1.3 per cent.
IOL Chemicals are the three stocks that Rahul Sharma of Equity99 Advisors is betting on in the current market scenario. Edited excerpts from his interview with ET Now.
What kind of levels are you watching out for Nifty and what advice are you telling your HNI investors on approaching the market?
Nifty has been getting into a consolidation zone from February 2021 when it scaled the 15,000 mark. The level of 14,300 is acting as a support point for the index, while the hurdle is at 15,000. If Nifty closes above 15,000, then the 15,400-15,500 trajectory will open up. For Nifty Bank, that has not been performing as well as Nifty, 33,500 is the next hurdle. If we get a closing above those levels along with volumes, 34,000-34,300 will be the next levels for Nifty Bank.
Shree Renuka Sugars ended locked in the 10 per cent upper circuit.
“These stocks are gaining because sugar prices have gone up in the international market and because of government’s ethanol policies. Ethanol mixing in petrol was about 5-6 per cent and government has given a mandate to increase it to 20 per cent by 2025,” said independent advisor Ambareesh Baliga.
“Now, ethanol can be manufactured directly from sugar. This will ensure sugar inventory is not too high,” said Baliga.
Stocks such as Avadh Sugar, Uttam Sugar, Triveni Engineering, Dwarikesh Sugar, Shree Renuka and Bajaj Hindusthan have gained 40-87 per cent in the last one month. All the sugar companies are in the green for 2021 calendar year, gaining 10-55 per cent.
Shares of sugar companies were on a roll at the bourses, on Monday, with Bajaj Hindustan, Dwarikesh Sugar Industries, Dhampur Sugar Mills, Avadh Sugar & Energy, Uttam Sugar Mills and Dalmia Bharat Sugar and Industries rallying between 15 per cent and 20 per cent, in an otherwise weak market, on healthy outlook.
Triveni Engineering & Industries, EID Parry, Shree Renuka Sugars and Balrampur Chini Mills gained in the range of 10 per cent to 12 per cent. In comparison, the S&P BSE Sensex was down 0.61 per cent at 48,484 points, at 02:03 pm.
Most of the brokerages have positive stance on India’s sugar industry as it is well poised to benefit from global and domestic factors. Lower output from countries like Brazil, Thailand and the EU would keep supplies tight and global prices firm, enabling India to increase exports. On the domestic front, favorable policies, rising ethanol demand (blending target of 20 per cent by CY25 from 8 per cent currently), aggressive ethanol capacity additio