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The Wrap: Retail, BNPL, Oz Dividends

-Snap lockdowns to undermine discretionary retail earnings/share prices -Proposed EU-based consumer credit regulations may affect growth for Afterpay/Zip Co -Major rebound in buybacks, special dividends, and return to normal dividend payout ratios on the cards By Mark Story Discretionary retail: Lockdowns tarnish second half earnings Despite the accelerated vaccine roll-out nationally, Jarden sees the real risk of Australia remaining closed for longer, which will likely delay the reopening trade. To reflect snap lockdowns in NSW and Victoria, partial lockdowns in QLD, WA and the NT, plus a growing cost of doing business pressures (CODB), Jarden has cut FY21 earning per share (EPS) forecasts by an average -5% across a handful of discretionary retailers.

The stocks Yarra Capital will target if investors freak out

The stocks Yarra Capital will target if investors ‘freak out’ Save Share Dion Hershan’s Yarra Capital Management plans to dive into retail and consumer stocks during the coming reporting season, taking advantage of any weakness that emerges as big retailers cycle the spending boom from a year ago. Mr Hershan believes investors could “freak out” when they see COVID-19 winners such as food, outdoor leisure, electronics and homewares retailers report negative same-store sales growth or weaker than expected results. Yarra Capital’s Dion Hershan has a contrarian view about the outlook for consumers.   Josh Robenstone “We stand ready to be a buyer of consumer stocks,” said Mr Hershan, who has a contrarian view about the outlook for consumers and believes spending is likely to remain strong for at least 12 months.

Sydney lockdown: Cue calls for tighter lockdown restrictions as exposure sites grow

Sydney lockdown: Cue calls for tighter lockdown restrictions as exposure sites grow
afr.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from afr.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

Kathmandu s lockdown hit shows how our economy is falling behind

Source: The New Daily The COVID blues are once again ravaging Australian retailers after half the country entered a lockdown and forced major brands to shutter stores. Residents in Sydney, Perth, Brisbane and Darwin are now being forced to stay home to combat a worsening virus outbreak, in what economists are predicting will cost the economy $2.5 billion over just two weeks. And in a costly case of COVID deja vu, outdoor retail chain Kathmandu warned it will take a $13 million hit from the latest lockdowns on Monday, with 123 stores across Australia forced to close over the past month. Group chief executive and managing director Michael Daly said the company will also miss its sales targets.

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