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How not to disengage from a conflict: Evidence from Afghanistan

In the wake of the September, 11 2001 terror attacks on the United States, NATO, for the first time ever, invoked its mutual defence clause enshrined in its constituting Article 5. NATO subsequently ousted the Taliban regime in Afghanistan, which had been harbouring Osama Bin Laden’s Al Qaida, in a campaign starting in October 2001. Hopes that improvements in health, education, women’s rights, and economic opportunities in Afghanistan would drain support for the Taliban quickly evaporated. A protracted war of attrition marked by asymmetric warfare ensued, and the conflict in Afghanistan became the US’ and NATO’s longest military engagement.  Foreign interventions typically aim to reduce the cost of potential civil wars (Mueller 2014). However, these interventions come a high price. According to the Costs of War Project, the conflict in Afghanistan has come at a cumulative total cost of $2 trillion to the US alone, along with the loss of at least 3,500 NATO troops and betwee

What Drove USDJPY Below 110 | BK Asset Management

July 8, 2021 Daily FX Market Roundup 07.07.2021 By Kathy Lien, Managing Director of FX Strategy for BK Asset Management Ask anyone and they will agree that economic activity in the U.S. is picking up with businesses enjoying a much needed post pandemic recovery. The airports were packed when I traveled to and from Hawaii last week with restaurants booked far in advance. The Federal Reserve recognizes this resurgence in demand and based on the last central bank meeting minutes, a growing number of policymakers think asset purchases need to be reduced sooner than anticipated. Yet USD/JPY dropped below 110 as U.S. stocks and Treasury yields declined because incoming data suggests that the recovery may be weaker than feared and when extra unemployment benefits expire in September, demand could slow. Some will argue that allowing these benefits to expire will help fix labor shortage and allow some businesses to return to full capacity but research from the American Economic Review

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