union jobs. caruso counters with a pledge to get tough on crime, corruption and homelessness. they are living and dying in the streets. it is inhumane. what have our elected officials done? caruso lost the primary by seven points and now down 12 and 21 points among likely voters according to the latest l. a. times poll. i don t expect him to win any geographic area or expect him to win any ethnic group including white voters in general. caruso faces a turnout problem, dana. on election day there is a measure affirming abortion rights and the recall of george gascon failed. both those favor congresswoman karen bass. you could argue the election restarts next week. dana: trace is groaning. william la jeunesse, thank you. once the last aircraft hit that point i made a radio call.
republicans turn out in higher rates than democrats or independents, so this makes it a more favorable election for this to pass and it will come down to turnout. so how are democrats responding to that, then. they know they got a turnout problem, i should say folks who support abortion rights, are they attempting to boost turnout to match what is expected to be higher republican turnout in the primary? absolutely. the main group campaigning on behalf of this, kansas constitutional freedom, it took a deliberate tactic not to appeal to democrats, but also moderate republicans and unaffiliated voters and most of the efforts in the last couple of weeks have been around the idea of getting out the vote. already we re seeing that begin to pay off. early voting number that this point shows a three times higher turnout rate in advance voting than we saw in 2018. katie bernard, thanks so much for walking us through it.
right, which is we talked about earlier segments, that the core of the republican vulnerability is the movement away from them in white-collar suburbs elsewhere in the country. the southern suburbs are just harder. their different. in texas, o rourke has stalled out, doing better than previous democrats among college-educated white voters but stalled out around 40%, and in this poll only at 36% among them. whereas in many of these northern suburbs, you re seeing democrats up into the mid 50s, which is why there are so many republicans at risk in the white collar house seats. but in texas, in these southern suburbs, i ll plug my cnn.com piece, he talks about this. it is tougher, and you re going to see that in georgia, as well. it s still more conservative, particularly on social issues, and unless he can get that into the mid 40s, even if he solves the minority turnout problem, you still don t have quite enough critical mass. i ve seen republican mischief-makers on twitter pushing
2012. down a bit in georgia from 2012. down a bit in florida, 2008, only year we can make a comparison to. down a bit there. now reasons for this. democrats say they hope to make that up this week. let s see. getting to the end of the week, are these numbers improved or does hillary clinton van intensity turnout problem with african-americans? a big question trying to do this. yes, still wants to go out and try to change arizona. one of the toss-ups state. yes, hopes to win nevada but this is the focus. win florida. win north carolina. try to win ohio. why you ll see not only secretary clinton, the president, the vice president, first lady, focus here and in the other blue states. block donald trump. priority one. hillary clinton said, yes, tested right now, but that s okay. everyone, everyone is knocked down in life. and as my mother taught me and showed me what matters is whether you get back up.
incumbent. yes, he reached out to democrats, but really played up his military record. he brought up john mccain in the final days of the campaign. i saw that helped him with veterans and military personnel and i think across the country, some other republicans may be taking that as a lesson. i want to talk about a military conflict, iraq, which of course has been in such crisis in recent weeks and i ve been talking to analysts who suggest to me it s going to be with us for a long time. isis is just too weak to do very much more than they have. but is too strong to be easily dislodged. and that raises the prospect of a war that goes on for several years that overshadows the ends of obama s presidency, that is some kind of a factor, potentially in the presidential campaign or will be left to the next president to decide. iraq is still with us for many, many years. i m going to go back to the economy and turnout. we know they have a turnout problem, especially in a midterm year, th