reelection in june of the ultra conservative mahmoud ahmadinejad s as president of the republic the people demanded the vote be overturned. the islamic republic was feeling the pressure was. but the supreme leader refused to give in to the demonstrators he up held up medina jantz appointment and put down the protests with extraordinary brutality. come on a probably saved the regime that year but the price he knew he would need to give some leeway if his hold on power were to be preserved. i think this
country. in the case of the current supreme leader is office is a big back black box of probably around a few thousand people working in that office and no one has a clear understanding of the power dynamics in that office the most influential people in that office and his own plans and designs for succession decision are surrounding succession and how it plays out within iran will be enormously consequential for the future of iran the stability of the islamic republic and for the capacity of iran to continue casting such a wide influence across the region. simply don t know how succession will play out but often iran the most powerful institution at the time of a transition will determine what comes next and the most powerful institution at the moment is the revolutionary guards in iran with the. economic power
provide different justifications for different policies and republic and the supreme leader it was their idea. and mom has sons peace and reconciliation in the frame that was honorable an honorable peace of one. he called that heroic flexibility which allowed them to make the compromise that was pretty painful with the great satan. in the name of heroic flexibility the leader and allowed himself to overcome the islamic republic s visceral anti americanism one of the regime s major ideological standpoints and enter negotiations with the united states.
that the american administration refuses to ratify the new position that iran occupiers on the regional chance bought but the iranian leaders also know that their country s new role in the middle east is a very delicate one between the joint handling with russia of the syrian issue riyadh s obsessive hostility the changing political map in iraq and their security fears over israel they need to be able to arbitrate between the opposing interests of their enemies and their partners. iran as a gun country and long arabs so without any doubt there is a seeing how much influence iran can have in the region but there is also a floor for how much are lots of came out because it is of the region and it cannot be entirely excluded from the region. at the same time the islamic republic is that a crossroads in its history the aging supreme leader ali khamenei is increasingly frail and sick his succession will be a crucial element in the restructuring of the future political balance of the
in one thousand nine hundred nine the supremely has been ayatollah ali how monday it was he who initiated the negotiations even before the election of president rouhani. the the the supreme leader had realized that the situation trina cleared was not sustainable economically wrong was not in a sustainable situation inflation was about forty percent unemployment was at a really high rates of around twenty five forty percent for you. and the economy was shrinking at a rate of minus seven percent. and this was an arts as they will situation or as succession. their leader afternoon as some to move iran agreed to take part in these negotiations in order to. to emerge from isolation.