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that. now were there other confounding factors? would you lose power and that system might turn off. i wouldn t dispute what jeff is saying because everything is up in the air at this point in time. but, if they were in a thunderstorm or convective situation with updrafts downdrafts it wouldn t have bean normal glide. it couldn t physically do that. it also wouldn t be boom smack on the deck. it would have taken some time. this is a mystery anyway. i m confounded as to why there wasn t more continuous system of there weren t more signals as the plane descended. let s move on to our next question. this tweet asks when will the black box be found? jeff we ll start with you on that. i m pretty optimistic. i m not known as an optimistic person. this is significant. they don t need to keep looking for surface wreckage to locate the black box. what you do is when a plane goes
box recorders. and obviously the weather is a factor in trying to make sure that they find all of these parts of the plane. what about the tracking technology that is being used, satellite technology being used? we saw nothing was helpful in finding mh 370, but in this case, do we have the tech knowledge to make sure enough of this plane is found so that investigators can figure out what happened? well, i think by the fact that we found the surface wreckage, that s not going to be a real question in the case of this wreckage. certainly a question for the possibility of accidents in the future. that s a huge public policy question. your ability to track planes more exactly in the air or find out what is handling aboard them mechanically in real time. but now that they think they re in the area where they can find the main body of the wreckage, tracking no longer becomes an issue. but this is not far from the
the bodies weren t wearing life vests. can you read anything into that? not really. you could say the plane fell suddenly which obviously it did if the wreg age is not that far from the last contact. so that means there wasn t any time to get people ready for splash down. and i think the fact that the wreckage on the surface is not too far from where the last contact is means the plane fell fairly suddenly. there s been a lot of talk about stall. stall is an aerodynamic. it doesn t mean the engine quit. it means the plane loses air lift. it looks like a stall because the wreckage is so close the surface wreckage to the last contact. on the other hand, the question is stall is typical. after something goes wrong. what is it that went wrong that caused the stall in that s the secret of the black box should help solve.
and in principle, that could have pushed some surface wreckage down. and then there s another current that might have pushed it back up. so i don t think that idea that the wreckage could have been there is entirely unreasonable. sadly, of course, it isn t. so it couldn t have been discounted from the start. let s talk about the bluefin 21, jules. it has now scanned more than 90% of the seabed search zone with no signs of the wreckage found. i mean, do you think the plane is likely to be found in the last 10% of the area? i think the chances are one out of ten. i mean, i ve been following discussions on your show and other shows. and i think the pinger is there. i mean, we certainly know that there was a pinger there. and it certainly is disappointing not to find the wreckage around it. so i guess it s sort of a crap shoot at this point.
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