Is pouring into tenyear treasuries as a safe haven. Trouble, trouble everywhere but treasuries offer a degree of security not found elsewhere, and well pay you interest. You dont get that in europe or japan. Heres another opinion. Surely the Federal Reserve will now lower Interest Rates very soon and very sharply. Ive got another reason for the selloff and its hong kong. Its calm right now but is this the calm before the storm . There are signals that beijing has had enough. Things are coming to a head. Number one, Chinese State media now calls the demonstrators radicals and appears to be whipping up mainland support for a forceful end to the protests. Intervention, they say, is inevitable if the situation worsens. Two, there is video of chinese troops massing at the border. Three, the demonstrators are being told not to move to a different part of the airport. Just a few dozen remain. Four, the chinese accuse Speaker Pelosi and Senate Leader mcconnell of inciting chaos. President trum
Nearly 2 billion eu fine, while two new notes say, hey, dont worry. They suggest an apple comeback likely. As for tesla, well, its china struggles continue. Shipments plunging to the lowest level in more than a year. Lets begin with the markets entering a new week with record highs, fueled once again, jim, by a. I. , which seems to be the topic of so many weekend notes the last couple days. Oh my, carl. A lot of people want to say that the whole things gotten out of control, but lets say you go back a year, and you look at what nvidia the estimate for 2024. The stock was selling at 12 times earnings a year ago, so we can sit here and moan how expensive it was, but its by far the cheapest of the mag seven or mag six if you want to drop musk. But i think the problem has always been that when you look back, this thing is so underestimated in terms of what it can make that you dont know how to value it. What are you going to do, take it to nine times earnings like its a bad bank . Jim, my
Disney also in focus this ahead, of course, that will be an after the bell Earnings Report but the companys espn unit striking that deal with ten entertainment. We will keep an eye on eli lillys record run sparked by not just its diabetes drug but also that very encouraging study in terms of the broader impact of those weight loss reduction drugs. Also an upgrade this morning jeffries. Thank you start with disney and that espn Sports Betting deal sounds like this morning that you wonder why markets not making a bigger deal of it on the disney side. Yeah, because i think one aft things theres 55 Million People who play fantasy. What people usually do is they have their lineup, they put their team on the espn site, but then they go to draftkings to play daily fantasy and daily fantasy is huge in this country now, i think Jason Roberts has done a fantastic job at draftkings, and disney had a stake, but now i think youll stay on the disney espn site to do your gambling and that is very pow
Economy and help families with permanent tax breaks. Labour will argue that any reductions will still leave people worse off because of the freezing of Tax Thresholds. Ben king reports. The background to todays budget has been gloomy, with the economy in recession. But it looks like the chancellor will still find room to cut taxes. The conservatives are trailing labour in the polls, and looking Forjeremy Hunt to give them some cheer in places like this, winchester, a seat the Lib Dems Hope to win. So what do people here think about tax cuts . I think it would be a good idea because it gives people more money to spend on what they want to buy. Realistically, people arent going to save that much money from a tax cut, whereas more money in Public Services means Better Health care services. Itsjust much more important. I would prefer not to have a tax cut, but to see more money invested in the community. If the Public Services were properly organised, theres more than enough money to do it
Carnival no shes actually flying long distance, choosing delta, united oh, hold it, shes spending like crazy on luxury goods overseas at least according to the mastercard data. Shes going out to dinner after work from home says american express. Oh, wait a second the consumers shopping at lowes for black and decker because she cant sell her home because rates are too high so she might as well refurbish the darn thing with a new deck, maybe throw some Sherwin Williams paint on it but shes not working out as much as before drinking less. According to Planet Fitness and diageo at which point i say wait a second, hold it. These data points, which is what i live with every single day, every minute of my life, these data points, theyre driving me crazy. And thats actually somewhat easy to do but they are the markets reacting to every twist and turn of the consumer right now and it seems to have the memory of a mayfly the market started weak, turned positive, sold off again, dow dipping 67 po