I feel like the melting bad guy in the Indiana Jones movie. Damn, this Global Warming. I dont know. The science on Global Warming isnt it yet. Are you insane . Campers could roast marshmallows over my testicles. Weather is cyclical. Screw this . Im going to go coach hockey. Its the late show with Stephen Colbert. Tonight, trumps g. O. P. Lovefest. Plus stephen welcomes hugh laurie. Gretchen carlson. And ben affleck and michael stevens. Featuring jon batiste and stay human. And now, live on tape from the ed sullivan theater in new york city, its Stephen Colbert cheers and applause stephen how are you . Hey, folks. Thanks very much. Ladies and gentlemen, ladies and gentlemen, welcome welcome one and all to the late show. Im your host, Stephen Colbert. cheers and applause hey, i dont know i dont know where you guys live, but you ever see, like a crazy old guy yelling on his front lawn into, like, a crowd of people gather together and start taking pictures and, you know, yelling pictures o
Hello, everybody. Welcome to the American Enterprise institute, thank you for joining us today. We are going to dive right in to talk about the new book everybody lies. The subtitle for about 15 to 20 minutes after that, we will sit down and have a conversation at Columbia University at 5 30 then we will look at the book but hes produced and have the opportunity to defend himself and then we will take questions from the audience and follow the same procedure. Do you want to go first . Thanks for the introduction and for inviting me to this panel. The book everybody lies is about five years of research ive been doing. So i will describe what it is. For the last 80 years, if you want to know what people want, why people do the things they do and what people are going to do, you have basically one main approach. You ask them if you can talk to the survey said they will go out and ask people questions. And there is a problem in this approach which is people tend to lie to surveys to make t
538 and we will viciously attack seth and the book he has produced. Seth will get the opportunity to defend the supplemental will take questions from the audience and follow the same procedure. Seth, do you want to go first . Thanks dan for the introduction and for inviting me to this panel and this is a book , everybody lies about five years of research i have been doing. I will describe what it is and for the last 80 years if you want to know what people want, why people did the things they did, what people are going to do you have basically one main approach. You ask them. You conduct a randomized survey said gallup or peel or quinnipiac will go out and ask people questions and there is a main problem with this approach which is that people tend to lie and surveys to make themselves look good. If you ask people immediately before an election are you planning to vote the overwhelming majority of americans in the survey will say sure i want to vote in the election. They dont want to a
538 and we will viciously attack seth and the book he has produced. Seth will get the opportunity to defend the supplemental will take questions from the audience and follow the same procedure. Seth, do you want to go first . Thanks dan for the introduction and for inviting me to this panel and this is a book , everybody lies about five years of research i have been doing. I will describe what it is and for the last 80 years if you want to know what people want, why people did the things they did, what people are going to do you have basically one main approach. You ask them. You conduct a randomized survey said gallup or peel or quinnipiac will go out and ask people questions and there is a main problem with this approach which is that people tend to lie and surveys to make themselves look good. If you ask people immediately before an election are you planning to vote the overwhelming majority of americans in the survey will say sure i want to vote in the election. They dont want to a
This is two hours and 40 minutes. [inaudible conversations] [inaudible conversations] [inaudible conversations] the meeting will come to order. Senator whitehouse is next followed by senator young. Senator whitehouse. Thank you, chairman. Lets me ask first to put into the record a letter from our governor in rhode island, which says in rhode island im quoting here we have actually seen exchange premiums decrease in two out of the last three years. Ended that this has saved consumers nearly 220 million since 2012. So, the story on the Affordable Care act in rhode island is a good one. I would also like to put this little graphic into the record, which to explain briefly, the red line along the top is the cbo estimate of where our healthcare costs were going to go back when they were making the estimate in 2010. Then, at this time 2016, after the aca was in place they took a look at the Actual Experience up to that point ended a new new projection Going Forward based on the Affordable Ca