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House Freedom Caucus Leader Begs Speaker Johnson to Help Him Save His Seat

House Freedom Caucus Leader Begs Speaker Johnson to Help Him Save His Seat
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Notes on the State of Politics: March 28, 2024

The narrowing GOP House majorityRep. Mike Gallagher’s (R, WI-8) surprising announcement late last week that he would resign on April 19 combined with an earlier and also surprising resignation announcement by now ex-Rep. Ken Buck (R, CO-4) is going to have the effect of further reducing the Republicans’ already-slim House majority.

Notes on the State of the Senate

Analyzing Hogan’s entry in Maryland; deciphering action out west; the 2024 Democratic downside risk.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE–Last week, national Republicans got their best possible Senate recruit in deep blue Maryland, with former Gov. Larry Hogan.–Though Hogan will be hard pressed to actually win, as has been the case with some other recent “crossover” governors who’ve run in Senate races, his candidacy is notable enough that it moves Maryland onto the periphery of the competitive map.–In Montana, Rep. Matt Rosendale (R, MT-2) finally entered his state’s Senate contest, setting up a primary with Tim Sheehy, who national Republicans prefer. In Arizona, Kari Lake, a pro-Trump election denier, received the nod from national Republicans, though Sen. Kyrsten Sinema’s (I-AZ) plans are still not known. With Democrats being so exposed this cycle they hold roughly two-thirds of the Senate seats that will be up it’ll be important for them to minimize their losses.

Notes on the State of the Senate

Notes on the State of the Senate
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The Fields Above the Graves: Louisiana 2024 Redistricting

In vintage Louisiana fashion, Democrats gain a second Louisiana seat.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE Earlier this week, Gov. Jeff Landry (R-LA) signed a new House map that creates a second Black-majority seat in the state. The new district, stretching from Baton Rouge to Shreveport, would have favored Joe Biden by 20 points in 2020 and is Safe Democratic. Former Rep. Cleo Fields (D) seems to be a frontrunner for the new seat, and, if elected, would return to Congress after a nearly 30 year absence. Aside from its partisan implications, the new map could be interpreted as Landry’s attempt at punishing Rep. Garret Graves (R, LA-6).

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