Obstacles facing oil and gas and why the lock downs are a big deal but may not change much longer term. It is friday, october 16, and this is Worldwide Exchange. If i have it right, i think that is the black key and the song is 10 00 a. M. But were playing it at 5 00 welcome from yfr wherever in th world you are watching stock futures right now are in the green but lets be carefully here, they are basically flat. Dow futures are up 9 points, so in the green, yes, nasdaq up 22, but got a long i way to go the big money question on this bring is whether today will mark a rare four day losing streak for the nasdaq were down previous three sessions, although amazingly were still higher on the week outside of stocks, the big winner this week has been bitcoin. Thats right, up 4. 5 . Climbed earlier back above 11,500 bitcoin has been the winning asset class coming into a friday lets go around the world and it is looking like a nice session in europe as well. Lets ghets t get the trade, geoff c
Lets bring in our guests today, arguing that stocks might not be so close to new highs for very long mike wilson, Morgan Stanley, back with us good to see you. Glad to be back. 10 correction is the most likely outcome why is that . Its a continuation from the call we made in september where we got a 10 correction. We walrallied back all this comes back to our framework. We look at the valuation its pretty full volatility has picked up because of the events they know are out there, whether its the virus, the second wave, or the election the premium we believe is a bit understated from where it should be thats all were saying. Its full here these risks are not going away for the next 30 days theyll be with us so, look, the range we put out in august, 3,100 to 3,550 holds. Were still bullish on the vshaped recovery, the call we made a while ago we think its a new bull market. But its risk reward and the risk reward for the upper end of the rage is not that good. If the facts change, could
They will go through the issues and this is television where tone, style, emotion are very important. My opinion, bidens job to survive 90 minutes, holding his focus to making sure there are no serious gaffes. The president will no doubt attack his style but not come across as a bully he doesnt want to stir up the sympathy vote. Heres another opinion, and absolute catastrophe the media will declare biden the winner. Lets get to the market, pretty much on hold maybe waiting for the debate the dow is down 11 points, the nasdaq 1026, 25, s p down near two. Not Much Movement, Speaker Pelosi has proposed a 2. 2 trillion dollars stimulus plan and the house may vote on it, a key point in Sticking Point contains 436 billion for state and local government, the republicans do not want that, and 25 billion for the airlines, 30000 airline furloughs on thursday if they do not get the money. Today is the day when Amy Coney Barrett goes to capitol hill and between nine republican senato senators, tha
The sessions you want to take a look at whats happening with u. S. Equity futures this morning. Dow futures up 10 points, s p up by three we are still under water for all three major averages even after the gains we saw yesterday the dow down about 3 . The nasdaq is down 5. 6 also bumping up against the end of the quarter. Major averages still in positive territory. Youll see now, it looks like the 10year is sitting at 0. 65 of 1 . Andrew, welcome back thank you, becky House Speaker pelosi said democrats proposed a new 2. 2 trillion relief bill saying it is a compromised measure with in funding for schools and airlines white house chief of staff saying President Trump would be willing to sign a 1. 3 trillion relief package well see, guys where this all heads. Inching along we went from 2. 3 to 2. 2. I dont know where the white house is Vice President mike pence said yesterday americans should expect a rise in covid cases in the days ahead as testing increases in some midwestern states
You have that poll in the wall stre street journal and maybe the stock market considering maybe we wont have a contested lebs if the polling tells you anything accurate about where this race truly is what do you think investors should be taking from this move . I think thats correct. I think the two primary drivers for the higher market today are certainly the fiscal spending and what it equates to in the near term and the dynamic in the market for a trade and investors to extap larapolate is a rise i yields were finally seeing a welcome rise in yields and that is certainly on the belief of both of those actions i mentioned previously you have that to consider and how you want to trade that it has a direct impact perhaps on growth versus value, the polling on the upcoming election and were thinking about the president s health and what all of this means for the Campaign Going forward. So youve got a number of things in there. Lets start with yields. Rates being 0. 74 as a new high or r