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increase voter turnout which generally is good for democrats. you can see in some of the early numbers of return ballots that democrats have a small persistent lead, i don t know what numbers are today, which is historically good because they don t usually have the lead in the state prior to election day. so colorado is a really tough one. nick s basically right, which is that if trump is going to get a state from clinton, it s most likely to be in the upper midwest, the rust belt. places like michigan or wisconsin. i think the wisconsin marquette poll yesterday was deflating for them in that sense. if you talk to people in the clinton camp orbit, this whole debate over arizona, it s an interesting one. some people actually view arizona as closer than iowa which gives you a sense of how the race is shaping up which is that states with hispanic population are going for her and states with a working class white population are trending towards him.
Numbers
Lead
Some
Union-democratic
Return-ballots
Voter-turnout
Donald-trump
New-york-state
One
Colorado
Bill-clinton
Estate
where hillary clinton was today. she s showing a four point edge. 47-43%. this is where she was with michelle obama. this is the state they want to recreate the obama commission in. she looks to have an edge. here is one of the states that might be acting downright blue. we ve not seen georgia go democratic since bill clinton s race. he wasn t even able to hold it in his reelect. and can clinton campaign has not yet committed surrogate travel. hillary clinton is not going there yet. we don t a see a ton of spending going on in georgia. the clinton campaign is not treating that like a really winnable race for them. and then iowa, which we also have leaning towards donald trump, a dead heat. i was just looking at early voting numbers there and hillary clinton does have an edge, democrats have an edge in terms of return ballots but it is not as big of app edge as barack
Point
Hillary-clinton
Michelle-obama
Vivan-edge
Estate
Commission
47
Four
43
Race
Clinton
Wasn-t
you have some new early voting numbers, mark. what do you have? brooke, the last time we talked it was about 24.4 million people voted early. look where we are now. new data that just came in in the last hour, 31 million people have cast ballots in 38 states. but i want to look at four different states right now. two in the midwest. two out west. let s look at iowa right now. almost 499,000, 500,000 people have cast their votes in iowa. let s dig deeper. we look at 2016 and right now documents have a 41,000-vote edge. but if you go back to 2012, they had a 60,000 ballot edge in return ballots so not necessarily good news for democrats in the state of iowa, public polling shows donald trump is leading in that state. let s stay in the midwest and go to ohio. 1.3 million people right now have cast early ballots in the state of ohio.
People
Mark-preston
Numbers
Brooke-baldwin
Voting
Data
31-million
24-4-million
Ballots
States
Midwest
Iowa
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