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Takes. Joyce stop. The trajectory what what what what we know is that the measures that are being taken are having a very big effect on contacts and i showed you the data on transport you can see dramatic reductions in the amount of transport being used you see dramatic get reductions in footfall we know of course that things like restaurants and pubs which are places where people are going to be in been closed so we are seeing a big change in contacts that is predicted to have a very significant effect on the socalled are the r. Value is the number of people on average infected by one infected person and the idea is to get that number below one at which point the epidemic stops and starts to go down on the basis of the contacts you would expect that are value now in terms of the early phases of transmission in the community to be coming down or below one so that we think that that has had the effect thats the desired that takes 2 or 3 weeks to to feed through into the number of people

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