carolina where ted budd has secured the republican nomination for senate there. you can look at the effect trump might have had there. in pennsylvania we will see if dr. oz is able to actually win, it does seem that trump s endorsement helped out. north carolina polling share for ted budd pre endorsement we had 9% with undecided allocated. he was nowhere. he was nowhere. losing to the former governor in that state. where did he end up? 59% of the vote. 59%. that s a 50-point jump. ted budd does not win that race without donald trump and i think this kind of gets at something that donald trump can still be a very, very powerful tool for a candidate, he can bring them up, he brought dr. oz up, whether or not it s enough, i don t know, but at this particular point in republican primaries i would much rather have donald trump s endorsement than not. i pulled up the republican governor s race in pennsylvania here, so people can see that doug mastriano has secured the
was jane timken, she got less than 10% of the vote. let s walk over to another wall to try to get a sense of how the trump endorsement did help j.d. vance. this is the ultimate sign. if you look at this polling share pre endorsement for j.d. vance, where was he at? he was at just 14% of the vote. look at the vote share in the actual returns, 32% of the vote. stuff like that does not happen by accident. something changed in this race and it wasn t that all of a sudden j.d. vance became j.d. mandel and basically became someone else. no. what happened was j.d. vance got the donald trump endorsement and that was more than enough to double his vote share from the pre-election polls to what we saw in the return. this is one of those cases that but for the trump endorsement we wouldn t be here. it s pretty clear in this case.