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Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - MSNBC - 20111229:00:25:00

strategic in voting, even in south carolina, starting this tuesday, the person who goes into that polling booth will not vote their gut or vote their heart, like a lot of voters tend to do. they will say, no, this is about the presidency. we re going to pick a president. is it going to be that cool and calculating? john heilemann had that quote from that unnamed romney aide saying like we can t lose this now. that was smart. that was cocky but i see what he s saying. do you think it helped him? no, no, no. i don t think it helped him at all. i do say this. it is hard to figure that primary voters down in south carolina are really going to be thinking that way and you do see romney robert was just right. romney through all of this, he s cruising along at 22%, 23% and newt is up and everybody is up and down like this. the question to for me is, you know, he s sort of the consensus, the unloved consensus candidate, but at some point something s got to happen. somethino 50.ot

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - MSNBC - 20111229:00:02:00

in iowa newt gingrich has fallen dramatically out of first place. he s now in fourth with just 14% of the vote. what a fall. romney and paul each have jumped up five points to lead the pack, and look at rick santorum. he s tripled his support from just earlier in december. he s now running third. and in new hampshire romney has had a commanding lead with 44% of republicans choosing him as their nominee. here again gingrich has dropped substantially from just a few weeks ago, and he and ron paul are now neck and neck for a distant second. mark halperin is msnbc political analyst and also with us joining us. thank you, gentlemen. let s start with j.-mart. newt is looking like the old ç newt, people who covered him on the hill, worked with him on the hill really do recognize. he s angry and pouting and taking shots at romney and all the others. well, the challenge that he s had is that he has pledged to not run a negative campaign, and

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - MSNBC - 20111229:00:00:00

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - MSNBC - 20111229:00:00:00
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Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - MSNBC - 20111229:00:12:00

ah. if they are there that could take votes from newt and secondly which south carolina are we talking about? is this the south carolina that has always ratified the establishment choice over the course of the last 30 years, or is this the south carolina that last year elected a 38-year-old indian american female as their governor that s a much more populist sort of tea party-oriented state party now. i think you have to get those two answers first before you can actually figure out what happens down there next month. what about the party that beat the heck out of john mccain after he came out of new hampshire in 2000, that s the party i still see, willing to do the dirty work on a front-runner? your thoughts, jay? i mean, mark? i was going to say ç that s the establishment. romney is going to be in good shape because they will want to pick a winner. your thoughts, mark? could they come back and pound what looks like a moderate? if you re anybody but romney

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - MSNBC - 20111229:00:11:00

vote for mitt romney and that shows this race goes on. if he s first or second and winç resoundingly in new hampshire it s going to be very hard, i think, to head him off in south carolina and florida, even though right now, according to the last round of polls, gingrich was strong there. final question, suppose the way it goes the way mark is lining it up. suppose romney pulls the win up in iowa. it will be cold and he ll win that thing. if he does it s a big deal goes to new hampshire and wins there and won twice. goes to south carolina, which is evangelical and newt comes out as the only alternative to this guy, a moderate guy, lds background, mormon religion and he comes out and plays i m the only alternative to this guy. he does nick him there or beats him substantially even and goes to florida. isn t there a battle beyond florida if he wins south carolina? having won in south carolina, can he expect to win elsewhere in the deep south, the real south, not florida? two importa

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