I dont know if its so much will these reports be good i think the question is how good do they have to be well, theyre going to probably have to be extraordinarily good we saw what happened with microsoft already. The numbers were great across the board for the most part. The stock went lower and continued to go lower after they gave the guidance that they gave i think thats part of the elements of what were going to be looking at today, scott, is not only the earnings but what does the guidance look like for many of these Different Companies were talking about, the power four or five when you really look at whats going on there, its still about apple one and the bundling package, i think thats huge it goes back to the idea that this was once a Hardware Company that was mass, rigive and the hardware component was huge. Thats been a good thing because the reliance on that aspect of apple, it stis still there but less youve got wearables and services and all these different areas where a
Swan number three, hurricane zeta. We will show you exactly where it is right now and how its crushing oil, natural gas and energy stocks. At its lows the Dow Jones Industrials had fallen 908 points. So when you combine that with the previous two days, thats a drop of more than 1700 points. The s p 500 and the nasdaq are also struggling hard right now. We have the s p down 94, the nasdaq down 332. Look, now we see octobers gains wiped out for those two indices and oil getting crushed in the aftermarket session, down 5. 25 . We are now at 37. 51 a barrel. This is not helping, either. Three tech giants, facebook, twitter, alphabet google, adding to the nasdaqs woes. Their shares hammered as their ceos faced congressional scrutiny from both sides of the aisle during a very contentious hearing on capitol hill. We are about to show you the key moments and then our tech panel, top guys in the industry, will translate what it might mean for the stocks. Will the renewed lockdowns invite a supp
Lets bring in our guests today, arguing that stocks might not be so close to new highs for very long mike wilson, Morgan Stanley, back with us good to see you. Glad to be back. 10 correction is the most likely outcome why is that . Its a continuation from the call we made in september where we got a 10 correction. We walrallied back all this comes back to our framework. We look at the valuation its pretty full volatility has picked up because of the events they know are out there, whether its the virus, the second wave, or the election the premium we believe is a bit understated from where it should be thats all were saying. Its full here these risks are not going away for the next 30 days theyll be with us so, look, the range we put out in august, 3,100 to 3,550 holds. Were still bullish on the vshaped recovery, the call we made a while ago we think its a new bull market. But its risk reward and the risk reward for the upper end of the rage is not that good. If the facts change, could
Questions, i think, heading into this new month is can big tech stage a big rebound because september was fairly dismal. Apple was down more than 10 alphabet down 10 microsoft down almost 7. Amazon down almost 9 facebook down 10 y do you see all those pull backs represent consolidation. That up trend remains thoroughly undisturbed. I really dont think profit taking and consolidation the month of september end up being meaningful i could be wrong thats the way i would think about it 42 of stocks in the s p five hundred are above their 50 day more than half of the market is not. The consumer stock, Consumer Discretionary looks incredible equal weight retail looks great. Anything that has to do with the consumer looks pretty darn good. The big trends are all in place. Target, new highs. Walmart looks like it wants to break out again. This morning i heard 11 of americans are now already paying for walmart plus they rolled this thing two weeks ago. They have 11 of the country as m paying me
Lets get straight to steve liesman. Jay powell testimony before the House Services committee will note improvement in the economy saying Household Spending has recovered three quarters of the decline and say this is in part response to federal spending and higher Unemployment Benefits which is running down he said housing has rebounded and Business Investment showing signs of improvement but overall employment and Business Activity with well below the prepandemic levels an the out light is uncertain. He makes special mention of the feds main Street Lending program, a 600 billion program with a backstop from the troo z treasury hell be speaking tomorrow before the house financial Services Committee with treasury secretary Steve Mnuchin and this is required testimony about the cares act where they have to quarterly appear before congress and discuss progress with the lending programs. The terminology, highly uncertain, is that different from what the clair has used in the past. This is t