58% of the democrat, 41% for the republican. a republican is losing. that means as our new installment of votes comes and, she needs to win. each and every installment, or to win huge and what s about to come. and pima it s not the only result that just came in. we got a modest amount of votes in yuma county. noticed it s red. and the modest new votes, though, katie hobbs had more in that one small report. again, more bad math for kari lake. we ve also got some new votes in the last hour from again, a very modest number of votes. you ll notice, the, kari lake is leading in this county. and that last installment of its, katie hobbs had more. again, bad math for kari lake. and, some more votes last hour in apache county, in the northeastern county in the state. this one is an overwhelmingly democratic county, and katie hobbs, the democrat, that more votes than kari lake. what does that leave us now? our decision team has been crunching the math. excuse me for turning my back. we believ
so we re talking about thousands that are out here, versus tens of thousands that we will now at the bottom of this hour. so, this is the lake path. if she has any hope, it will really reside in those tens of thousands. she has to make up some ground. you are going over some of those pima numbers. they were not in her favor. pima is a traditionally blue county. what we saw here is that hobbs is after this release at 58. 1% sure that 58. 1%, and like at 41. 9% of the data that we got out of pima. i just want to have you turn, anderson, to something else. we got this just minutes ago. kari lake has been very quiet. the campaign has been very quiet. not talking to reporters. this is a campaign that almost on a nightly basis has given us some indication of how they re feeling. but now, we re hearing from
with this installment. the question is, is that enough? this is, this particular installment, this was a little shy. our team said she needs 58 to 60%. now, as the universal votes shrinks, you ll re-run them off, we don t know what s gonna happen pretty shortly. this is a comeback, if you will. she s narrowed the gap. but again, the question is, is it enough? and remember, in 2020, joe biden s lead shrunk and shrunk and shrunk, but then it held at the end. it was a narrow lead and held at the end. the question is, is that what s happening again? or we have to wait for more votes? so, it shows at the map, because exactly how far ahead is katie hobbs, just in terms of sheer votes? sheer votes, she is 20,481 votes ahead. that was a bigger lead when we talked at the top of the hour, because in this latest installment for maricopa county, it was carried like that came out on top. that is what blake has been waiting for. again, throughout the day, the results that have come in since the
to be the mid high 60s and gets 57% of this batch of votes. it breaks 57% from kari lake, for katie hobbs. that s not the target we set for kari lake and what that means is, if we look at the state by total, again, lake was down about 30,000 coming into this dump of votes. she now still trails by more than 20,000 votes. 20, 000, 480. one that s why she needed such a big margin from this big batch of votes because hobbs built a 30,000 vote lead. she needs a shrink that thing down well under 10,000 maybe under 5000. again, what is left now in arizona, there are still some provisional ballots that remain in maricopa county. there are secured ballots, there are some of these rural areas, republican friendly areas that i have some vote in. them there s still some vote to come from pima county, that strongly democratic party.
anything in yellow is uncalled. right now, republicans have at least 212 seats. 218 you need for the majority. democrats at least 206. that meas there are 17 uncalled races. uncalled democratverses republican races to get to 218. republicans, their magic number is six. they have to win six from this list, and for democrats, their magic number is 12. they have to win a dozen from this list. and the republicans have by far right now the easier path to hit that 218 number. a lot of it has to do with what we re waiting on right now in arizona. the sixth district of arizona, i m going to show you here, part of that is in pima county where any minute we re expecting a big release of votes. you see the republican advantage has been climbing in this district. it s now nearly 3,000 votes, and the pima portion of this district has been friendly in these most recent updates to the republicans. this is one republicans could be in the next few minutes poised to extend their lead and the democrats w