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We were kind of running three different [predictive] models, all using publicly available data sets, said Jason Rivera, the college s director of institutional research. What it was doing was giving us a range of where we could possibly expect cases to go depending on how you want to plug in the numbers. As we got closer and closer to students arriving, we were looking at somewhere between 15 and 20 students who were likely to be positive based on where our students were coming from. In the last seven days, the college s testing program has reported 11 positive results, all in the student population, officials said. Those are in addition to 14 students who tested positive before arriving on campus and were asked to remain at home until they were cleared by local medical officials.
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A Sunday afternoon email from Director Carrie Gagne informed affected families that the college learned on Saturday that a single teacher at the preschool had tested positive, prompting a decision to shutter the facility for 10 days. The letter said the decision was made with the consultation of college leadership and the local Board of Health, which noted the closure at its Monday morning meeting. In other scenarios we might have only closed one classroom, Gagne wrote. However, the Pine Room has an exceptionally large number of siblings and family members moving through seven other classrooms. Although we limit mingling among students and do not have teachers moving between rooms, the center-wide risk was greater because of the Pine Room s unique situation than it might have been otherwise. That fact fueled our decision to reluctantly close the entire school.
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