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Jair Bolsonaro, Brazil’s president, risks losing his October bid for re-election. If he disputes the result, his shrinking but increasingly far-right support base might take to the streets. State institutions should prepare to deal with baseless fraud accusations and to curb possible violence.
Jair Bolsonaro faces electoral defeat in 2022. Far from ending corruption as promised, he is now caught up in business scandals and Brazil's business community and middle class have lost faith in his promised reforms. But for now, can anyone harness his increasingly radicalised support base?