the gulf of mexico, we anticipate it s going to make a little bit of a right turn and head back towards florida. at this point in time, anything from appalachia all the way down to key west is still in the cone of uncertainty. so anywhere in this area is still a possibility for landfall. so do keep that in mind. there will be some fluctuations with this because right now the models just don t really agree on exactly when and where this storm is going to go. this blue dot is the european model. it s a little faster, trying to make landfall along the lines of wednesday, but it also favors more of a south florida landfall. the red dot, that s the american model, that s a little bit slower, holding the landfall off till late thursday, maybe even as late as early friday, and the landfall point is more in line with the big bend area. so, again, fred, you re talking here, there s a lot of components at play here and a lot that can change in the next few days, but ultimately, if you live in fl
we had little interaction with the landfall point, quite a bit of moisture on this producing rainfall amountsing producing 15, 20 inches and nearly the entirety of puerto rico under neath flood alerts at this hour given how much rainfall has come down. you ll notice models suggesting another 5 to 8 inches in a few spots and total amounts exceeding here. we do expect to the lesser extent of the interaction here to be on the eastern side because quite a bit of mountains on western side of the island, the storm made a sharp right turn. we do expect this to intensify to a major hurricane within the next 24 to 48 hours. eventually on later on towards the latter half of the week parts of bermuda could be on alert in advance of the storm system. you ll notice the environment in which the u.s., at least the
when you have hurricane force winds. they are going the see those even in baton rouge. that s going to cause significant power out ans. the rain is adding up, too. as this storm slowly moves to the north, these rain bands haven t moved much. the rain totals are going the add up quick. katrina had storm surges like a cat 5. every storm has its own personal. what is the personal of ida? how might this hurricane surprise you? i think the continuation of these winds. it s just you have had hazards associated with the wane. you about the winds continuing, i mean to have still have well after londsfall 130-mile-an-hour winds is significant. it s damaging. that points to this as well. you think about our storm surge. we are not done with that yet. you have some of the storm surge ahead of the storm. but with that flow out of the south review the landfall point here and the location of the storm here. you still have that on-shore
moderate flash flood risk across several states here. another thing to note. when the ground is saturated like that, it doesn t take very strong winds. usually but 40 or 60 miles per hour to bring trees and power lines down. the forecast is calling for winds much stronger than that. you can see the red area. 75 to 110-mile-per-hour wind gusts. this purple area including montauk, perhaps even higher than that which is why we re anticipating such widespread power outages. not just sunday but for the days after as well. storms are just going to be a big concern, especially right there along the coast from nantucket, providence, down through east hampton. about 3 to 5 feet there but even areas like boston and the jersey shore, in theory, pretty far from where the landfall point will be. they can still expect some storm surge numbers around 1:00 to 3:00 feet. one other thing to point out, for some of these locations, when landfall is happening, high tide may also be occurring, jim, and one
over hatteras. this could potentially be our landfall point for hurricane dorian. any shifts in that track, if it continues to move a little bit farther to east we may miss a landfall entirely just getting some of those strong winds out here. notice even other places. portions of connecticut, portions of massachusetts, even main likely going to get some rainfall from this storm albeit they will be a very long distance away. they won t get the same impacts of the carolinas, florida and georgia did. areas in both north and south carolina picking up over ten inches of rain, dave. for some places we re going to see those numbers going up. still a lot to come. allison, thanks so much. one of the cities on that list charleston is where cnn meteorologist derek van dam is live for us this morning. what s the situation in the carolinas, derek? reporter: yeah, good morning, christine. this is a city that is breathing a sigh of relief because they