senate if some of their candidates had fewer problems. now that doesn t mean that the environment won t you know, overtake that. you know, we ll have to see how this continues through the weekend. we know that polling is basically a lagging indicator and we re not going to find out until voters are voting but if you re in the final stages of a top race, any little bit helps. evan, president biden, and you ve written a biography on president biden, he s in florida. what does it say to you that he won t be showing up in georgia, arizona and nevada? in closely fought races like that, putting the head, the person whose face is most responsible for the democratic party today in the center of that, it s a risky move. instead, what they did is they said let s send him to florida. let s send him to the geographical heart of the trump movement. metaphorically and in other ways
quite well. but there are lots of other senate races that they are very focused on, including what you were just talking would be the governor, arizona. they re also starting to worry about new hampshire, where there is an incumbent democrat there and of course there is nevada, which is a place where there is an incumbent democrat in a neck and neck race trying to hold on to that seat. and it s true across the board. governor dean, senator bernie sanders has criticized democrats for not having enough emphasis on an economic message for working people heading into the midterms. do you think democrats have talked enough about economic issues or were they going to take the blame for the economy no matter what? they were going to take the blame for the economy no matter what. but i actually think biden is doing a pretty good job on that. he is out there every day talking about the numbers. the problem is the numbers are the lagging indicator is not the numbers. the lagging indicator
so the federal reserve is going to look at this and other metrics but it shows the job market is still strong, not a huge, dramatic slowdown but an indication that perhaps some of these interest rate hikes in the past had some kind of impact. what mark is describing there is that investors are watching the fed watching the jobs report, maybe hoping for pro vepro versely bad news which would be good news for investors. if you saw a slow down, it would mean the fed s rate headachehikes, it a lagging indicator. wage is 5%. wage growth robust by historical standard but below recent months that s important. the fed wants to tamp down on wages here as part of the inflation story. i think next week we get a whole bunch cpi data, inflation data.
the hell off the stage, then things may change. but right now i would say that, you know, the public support for biden is sort of a lagging indicator. it s not a leading indicator anymore. it s what we re going to be seeing unfold over time if it works out for him. but trump is the master of knowing how to take impossible situations and moving them in his direction. so i think this is going to be a long, long campaign. it s obviously going to be a brawl. i don t think it s going to be edifying. and whether it helps the country as the leader of the world, i d be interested in juliette on that. david, i think your microphone is falling off. we ll let you fix that for a second there. scott, let me just ask you, david referred earlier to the special master. that s a legal decision. but i am wondering if one of the effects is to delay or draw out the circus surrounding the search of mar-a-lago. if that might be a double-edged
way. it could be a much longer discussion, but i think often in america the case is that culture, economics, social issues, the politics, the politics are often a lagging indicator in america, not a leading indicator, partly because of the lack of courage and leaderly quality of our politicians, not just today but throughout american history. we ve had problems before in this country that are as ugly as the period now. when the civil rights movement happened, martin luther king led a cultural, social revolution. it feels followed by important legislation in civil rights and voting rights but it feels led first as a call to the american conscience. that was a social movement, first and foremost. is there any kind of fertile ground for that now? who would lead such a movement now? is this a country that can be led in that kind of movement now or has some combination of the