This, nonincumbent is 35 in 96. Trump is really functioning more in this poll like an incumbent than a challenger. And im sure haley comes in second theyre going to say this is great victory. But, look, i mean if trump gets Anything North of 35 this is going to be what i would call a blowout. You put the dollars in hours and efforts that the other candidates put into iowa and its a lot more than donald trump did and hes going to get a lot more out of it. Yeah, i mean i have to ask you, kate, i mean are you surprised by these numbers . I mean im not based on what weve seen over the course of this kind of primary that hadnt, the primary that wasnt. Stuart is right, trump has served as an incumbent. Hes sort of gone Wire To wire here as the leader
Viewers. Trump was actually praising the mobsters sammy the Bull Today on Social Media of his Quote Fairness and honesty. Trump goes onto say in the social Media Post he hopes judges engoron and kaplan see what sammy has to say about them or about him. I mean, again, hes bringing up names of judges. And in the context of a social Media Post about Sammy The Bull, does this sound like a threat to you . Sammy the bull whos a paid assassin . Yeah, exactly. Notorious violent mobster. Unfortunately, its par for the course for him. He could easily say, oh, he was trying to use Sammy The Bull as a Character Witness ignoring the fact hes a man who killed people. Really something should be done with his constant commentary on public officials and judges. But everyone is very afraid to do that because they want to
Organization, and Haley Diz has an edge on that. This certainly informs our thinking but monday is still important for the race for second place. But the race for the first one is trumps clearly to lose right now, and it doesnt seem like hes going to. Jeff zeleny, ron brownstein, thanks for the insight and reporting on this very important poll that comes out just before the Iowa Caucus every go around, and it is something that is trusted by a lot of political professionals in this business. Of course well see how it plays out on monday. You have to go and Caucus And Vote and have your choice made. But jeff and ron, thanks so much. Well be rigight back Inin A Fe moments. Standby
Process going on here and i think its playing itself out. Trump crushed these candidates. And kate we do want to remind our viewers once again this is poll. The voters have not been heard yet. The Caucus Goers have not done there thing. Were waiting until monday. Caveat, caveat, caveat. Just to get to what jeff was saying in the previous segment 82 of trump supporters say they have made up their minds and theyre going to support donald trump. I suspect it could be negative 100 degrees outside, theyre going to get in their pickup trucks and cars and go vote in favor of donald trump. Now, stuart was just saying a few moments ago he thinks Joe Biden is going to win, but the level of dedication inside the Trump Base of the republican party is still a force to be reckoned with, is it not . No question. No question. And i think the cold will probably depress turnout across the board, but i think thats right. I think trumps supporters are clearly motivated in a way that
As a multiply indicted candidate. That is one way to speak to a republican base that enamored with him but also go at is this really the guy we want to put forward, you know, when hes facing 91 indictments and we know hes divisive and not as appealing as some of the rest of us who will try to try to enact the Maga Agenda without that baggage. Its just interesting that seems like a missed opportunity to me. But in the end it seems donald trump has a Death Grip on the base of the republican party. All right kate bettingfield, stuart stevens, great to talk with both of you. Great to catch up. Really appreciate it. Good to see you. Good to see you. Well dig even deeper into this final poll before the iowa caucuses. What history tells us about the ability to predict who actually wins in iowa. Were not overselling this