and neck races. democrat bill nelson is trying to hang on to his senate seat, while andrew gillum is vying to become the first african-american governor of this state. let s bring in my super panel. joining me now, friends all, i m hanging out with democratic pollster and host of the podcast strange days, christopher metzler and at a disadvantage, david jolly, not hanging out onset with us. former republican congressman from florida who recently left the party. david, i feel badly that you are not here with us. i was just telling my friends here i m hopped up. i want to play, david, for you president obama talking about you because not only did you abandon the republican party,
voting in through this morning. yes. the democrats have virtually caught up to the republicans, and a lot of people like to talk about the bradley effect. we may have to talk about something new called the jolly effect because we are seeing lots of republicans like david jolly saying this time around we cannot support this. we re going to go straight ticket democrat. i think that s belying some of these numbers. there are a lot of independents voting democrat. that s why we are seeing the beginning of this wave start to materialize here in florida. there were two candidates who were neck and neck for the republican nomination. it was a more traditional republican who is pretty well known to the party across the state. in hindsight, will the republican party come to regret that the primary came out as it is? is this is a specific ron desantis problem or a donald trump problem here? i think they will regret if they lose, right? we don t know if they will lose
party? well, that is no longer the republican party. this is the republican party of donald trump. and, so, for a number of people what has happened is trump has come in, and he has remade the republican party in his image for better or for worse. is it really in his image? we have had in the past the southern strategy going back to richard nixon. it is not as if republicans have never used race before. pete wilson in california, it is not new. it is not donald trump. there is something happening in the party, right? they have, in fact, used it in the past. but what we essentially where we are right now it seems like, for example, in the state of florida, why are we not talking about health care? why are we not talking about sugar? why are we not talking about algae? we are talking about race with less than two days to go in this race. yeah. so what that says to me is part of the problem that desantis clearly has is how much of the party can he hold
what difference do you think a candidacy like this makes for the country? we this that moment with barack oba obama. what do you think the election of someone like andrew would mean for the state and country? it could be the start of something. he is the governor of florida and there are all of the other states and the country. andrew is one of those young people that could go all the y way. the important thing is, there is andrew and our ability to vote and we have to get out there and vote. when you are knocking on doors canvassing, what are people saying i m sorry? when you are other than the fact that norman leer is at the door. are you able to stand? well then what do they say they care about? what do people care about? they care about health
for you? and my friends in atlanta. 600,000 early voters who didn t vote in 2014 or who have never voted before, that s amazing. yeah. and those people are not people that brian kemp has been reaching out to. i think there is a very good chance now in georgia that we could end up in a run off. a run off is not good for the democrats because brian kemp controls it. given the fact it is an incredibly red state, that would be a success. but there has not been any polling they have been tied for two months. he has never led. what s going to happen in georgia? i m calling it for stacey. i think there is so many untapped voters the pollsters are not paying attention to that fly below the radar. we were all just in atlanta. and the enthusiasm you see, not just in atlanta, but she s done a great job of reaching out across the state and not just a lot of people have this notion that she s the black woman