87, the s p 500 is up 10. 5 this month the russell 2000, the biggest ever month live oly outperforma small caps that sort of sets the scene for us your note today to our producers to me says everything, bryn. You say, yeah, were overbought, the market is technically ahead of itself, 200Day Moving Average but wed be buyers anyway yeah, you summed it up perfectly. I think to give some perspective around that, when youre looking at technicians or technical calls, the 200 Day Moving Average, over 90 of stocks in the s p are over their 200 Day Moving Average when that number gets above 80 , thats typically a time to take a stand back as a trader as an investor, though, as we are, you want to take a look at that and say, hey, if we get a selloff, which im sure well get because thats just the price of admission for being an equity investor, we absolutely want to be in stocks because what are your alternatives cash or bonds . And both of those offer you no yield and so we also think that next
Kind of takes the relief trade, if you will, out of the treasury market. Have a vaccine but have to deal with the rising case counts. Its difficult for Bond Investors to show no caution to the wind. Think about what actually has the chance to survive. Jeff rosenberg is joining us right now. What a week it has been in the market, tested in several fronts. Lets talk about credit first. We have the fed and the treasury having a little bit of a spat over the emergency programs introduced this year. I have to say this market has responded quite well to it. What was your take . The the most important of support measures are not affected, these were not used very much. They were most effective on announcement date, not much uptake. The market is seeing through that, and its a little bit less of a significant Market Reaction because it is less of a significant issue, if those support measures were to fall away. Pointsn as my colleague out, hasnt harmed the appetite for debt. We have been tryin
Iran and russia are attempting to interfere with the president ial election. They say theres no hacking involved. There are 12 days left until the vote. Spain is the first nation in western europe with one million virus cases. Rome considers implementing a nightly curfew. It comes as u. S. Hospitalizations reach a two month high. German cases jump to a new daily record of more than 12,000. The pound surges the most in six months as the u. K. And European Union resume talks over post trex it trade deal a week after Boris Johnson threatens to walk away. Negotiators arrive in london today. Anna lets get to some breaking news. Corporate reporting. Lets talk about some numbers from unilever. Third quarter underlying sales up by 4. 4 . Increase of 1. 8 . That looks to be better than in then has been anticipated. An estimate of an increase of over one. On pricing, things are weaker. The pricing comes in below estimates. Topline takeaway, sales have been beaten estimates. They are talking abou
But the breakdown of oil today on Global Demand is really significant. Under 40, not only but well on to new lows right now, 39. 71 on world oil. It is much more about the pandemic than it is the epsilon off the american election. Jonathan a breakdown on the equity benchmark in frankfurt, germany, the dax suffering. What is new about today . The dollar bid through g10 against e. M. You mentioned the turkish lira this morning as well. The Dollar Strength returns with a bit of a vengeance this wednesday morning. Tom let me triangulate again here triangulate yen here, folks. You throw the dollar out and look at euroyen, and euroyen clearly indicates weak euro. Lisa teladoc a. M. , german chancellor ashtead 00 a. M. ,erman chancellor 10 00 a. M. German chancellor Angela Merkel discussing new restrictions to stave off the rapidly increasing number of cases of covid. Also at 10 00 a. M. , ceos of facebookalphabet, and are testifying to a Senate Committee on restrictions of political messages
. O a presumed debate october 15 crisis, go to cash. Do you understand we are 3 from a dow record high . Jonathan the narrative has really shifted away from the worries about a contested election, and now the conversation about the potential of a blue wave. No question about it. We like to see more polls coming out. The candidates really migrate to arizona today and tomorrow to come off the messaging from utah. Have you seen the polls for going to be at polls from quinnipiac . A fivepoint lead in iowa for biden. The average right now, 9. 4 points to biden. I feel you, tom. I get it. Everyone else does, too. They are conditioned by the experience of four years ago. That is a conversation with kevin later this morning. Tom again, i look at the markets. The doom and gloom out there, the vix, the volatility at 28, im sorry. Look at the equity recovery and look at corporations adjusting. This breaking ibm news is important. Jonathan after a big acquisition last year of red hat, the restruct