Today in some of the comments out of retailers like burlington, anf, dollar tree, and Dollar General yes, if you look at the Dollar General, the numbers are just extraordinary i actually have never seen a Comp Store Sales number this good 21 versus 7 estimate. Dollar tree is going to be the one, david knows this well, people look like, you know what, now the dollar tree Family Dollar merger which had been so on the rocks, the judgment is its working and that stock could power much higher. Dollar tree. The opening trade is sapping the money out of tech. I dont know how much longer it can last thats such a great book in gary because he knows so much about what people are spending theyre essential because they have food, and i look at this market and i think how long with the dow up 4 can we actually say, hey, the reopening trade is just starting . Its already maybe too far too fast its very hard to figure, particularly because faang is being distorted by the president s tweets, facebook
The answer is not for a long time even the greatest optimists think a mass vaccine in the middle of 2021 maybe something smaller this fall the idea of something that is just given to you in the hospital iv that makes it so it eliminates the lets say the odds of you dying, its something that makes us feel like maybe this is the tamiflu for this dreaded disease i think, of course that makes people feel more optimistic. Everybody wants the country open, but nobody wants to do its been that stark, that bipolar. How about we get it open versus getting really sick. Thats something that people will say open it up, thats why the market is flying its not the tamiflu, its for when you are already fairly sick its very important i dont want to discount it in any way, listening to Scott Gottlieb has been one of the more rational voices on this throughout. He frames it properly. We actually do still need those antivirals that would be taken earlier in the course of the disease to mitigate its effect
Operation twist, where we just had a liquidity dynamics last time i was on we talked about Earnings Growth bottoming and reaccelerating of course the rate of change is what boosts the multiple so were this one of those periods where it should extend not just through end of the year, but into the beginning of next year as well. So if you think about when those rallies stalled out after qe2, that was the point where everyone realized all that liquidity didnt really boost earnings all that much and by then stock prices were ahead of fundamentals but between now and then, i think that the path of least resistance is still higher lets take a quick look at treasury yields. The fed operations is a large part of why. The ten year is yielding 1. 73 and meanwhile Chinese State media, remember on sunday the pro democracy candidate scoring a landslide victory winning almost 90 of the district down can still seats. And now beijing is calling the election a setback for hong kongs Democratic Developm
Good morning and welcome to daybreak australia. I am paul allen in sydney. Annabelle i am annabelle dollars in hong kong. Shery the top stories this hour. A risk of open ahead as blakes u. S. Signals complicate the picture of the next fed move. Goldman sachs selling in a rate cut for the Second Quarter 2024. Chinas economy showing few signs of a rebound. Suspending trading monday on almost a dozen onshore bonds. Shery in winners erased the bulls closing in argentinas national elections. U. S. Futures coming on higher in the Asian Session after a very volatile friday session closed at a onemonth low for the s p 500. It was a really choppy trading session. Really close to the 50 Day Moving Average that could signal more losses. We are seeing more upside in the asian open for u. S. Futures after the nasdaq 100 notched its longest weekly losing streak this year already. Of course investors are really trying to digest the mixed economic picture with easing inflation worries and consumer in