you just announced. it is. 28% of republican early voters in florida voting for hillary clinton. that s right. so this includes voters who have voted by mail, absentee voters who tend to trend more republican and voters who have early voted in person, tend to trend more democratic. but that said, keep in mind, we re talking about only voters who are registered republicans, and 28% of those voters are crossing over and voting for secretary clinton. when we look at the other side and we look at registered democrats, there are no such defections. donald trump is winning only 6% of registered democrats who have voted so far this election. when we look at the overall landscape, there s almost an identical number of republicans and democrats who have voted. so this is really making up the difference that we re seeing in this poll is this substantial crossover vote.
clinton campaign. and mark, as we ve already discussed tonight, there is now what could be a massive crossover vote of republicans voting for the democrat. and that s not even part of the dynamic that you re calculating here to give hillary clinton over 330 electoral votes. no, not at all. although it is interesting, there are a few states that are very close, just to give you a sense of it. north carolina by our model is very close. it goes republican in our model, but by a very slim margin. and nevada is very close, and that goes democratic by a slim margin. florida is very close, not surprising, ohio is very close. some of the swing states are close. here s an interesting fact. i don t know if this has made too much in the weeks, but if you model the election in an accounting level in those swing states, it turns out the election really revolves around one county in each swing state.
conservatives plan to use poll watchers in mississippi and they say they re specifically going to be using them in areas where senator cochran is recruiting democrats which in mississippi means black voters. they re calling it a voter integrity project. the true the vote group, the one that makes you want to feel like there s a cop in your rearview mirror while they re voting said, quote, they decided to take a closer look in mississippi because of the acknowledged effort of cochran operatives to mobilize a crossover vote among traditionally democrat voters. traditionally democrat voters in mississippi would mean black voters. the head of the senate conservatives fund is now ken cuccinelli. you remember him. the cucc. you remember him from virginia politics and losing the governor s race there. ken cuccinelli tells the new york times his group is funding this poll watching effort in black districts in mississippi because, quote, we re going to lay eyes on cochran s effort to bring de
that makes you want to feel like there s a cop in your rearview mirror while they re voting said, quote, they decided to take a closer look in mississippi because of the acknowledged effort of cochran operatives to mobilize a crossover vote among traditionally democrat voters. traditionally democrat voters in mississippi would mean black voters. the head of the senate conservatives fund is now ken cuccinelli. you remember him. the cucc. you remember him from virginia politics and losing the governor s race there. ken cuccinelli tells the new york times his group is funding this poll watching effort in black districts in mississippi because, quote, we re going to lay eyes on cochran s effort to bring democrats in. and the conservative media is doing everything they can to help. the headline at the breitbart right wing website. look. it s illegal for democrats to vote in the mississippi primary tomorrow. it s illegal. no, it is not. it s definitely not illegal for anybody to vote in th
that makes you want to feel like there s a cop in your rearview mirror while they re voting said, quote, they decided to take a closer look in mississippi because of the acknowledged effort of cochran operatives to mobilize a crossover vote among traditionally democrat voters. traditionally democrat voters in mississippi would mean black voters. the head of the senate conservatives fund is now ken cuccinelli. you remember him. the cucc. you remember him from virginia politics and losing the governor s race there. ken cuccinelli tells the new york times his group is funding this poll watching effort in black districts in mississippi because, quote, we re going to lay eyes on cochran s effort to bring democrats in. and the conservative media is doing everything they can to help. the headline at the breitbart right wing website. look. it s illegal for democrats to vote in the mississippi primary tomorrow. it s illegal. no, it is not. it s definitely not illegal for anybody to vote in th