Brexit and Global Stabilization may mean a gradual may mean gradual hikes, but they did change the ascension on brexit for their latest projections. They wound up looking at brexit for their latest projections. They see inflation not hitting 2 until two years from now. Most importantly, two dissented and voted for a rate cut up when he five basis points. We are joined by bloombergs nejra cehic outside the bank of england. You are looking at these headlines the same way i am, as they come out. What stood out to you . David yes nejra yes, that ters, one ofo dissen whom was michael saunders. If there had been 80 dissenters, he was one that was expected. That split vote had been any dissenters, he was one that was expected. That split vote coming as a surprise. I am just taking a look at some of these headlines here. In terms of cutting the inflation and growth forecast, that was expected for both 2020 and 2021. It really is that split vote that has come as a surprise because all of the ec
Forecasts dont take into account that nodeal possibility. This is a key thing that mark carney is going to have to navigate. Heres been a big divergence a lot slowing rate and of people expect rate cuts. How do they forecast this . Do they make separate forecasts based on a nodeal scenario . What will it mean for the pound . Weve hit the lowest since 2017 in todays session and if mark carney does come out with a little bit more of a dovish statement in any way and that puts further pressure on the pound, that of course then could feed into inflation. So hes talked recently about the fact that he really does need to try to illustrate these market activities. Thats what the focus will be. Also of course on new growth and inflation forecasts. The key thing they said is that the uncertainty means a wide range of parts for the economy. There could be volatility during that News Conference. Lisa as we see the pound weaken, weve seen Inflation Expectations pick up. Lets throw up a chart here
Good morning, everybody. Welcome to street signs. It is uk inflation day and what we are seeing is that stirling is taking slightly higher after july inflation dates painted a mixed picture for the uk economy. Headline inflation came in at 6. 8 because you can see behind me, that was in line with expectations. But, both the core and services cpi numbers came in hotter than expectations. Jeremy hunter says the nation is not yet at the finish line in its fight against inflation as todays figure puts wage growth ahead headline inflation. The latest cpi print has overnight swap rates pricing and at an almost 90 chance the bank of england will hike rates again by 25 basis points at its september meeting and just over a 10 chance of a half Percent Inflation point. That is 50 basis point increase. Now, this is the reaction we are getting across the income curve today. Interesting. We have twoyear yields stronger on the day. 5. 10 is where we are at. 5. 1 . The markets are pricing in at this r
Your equity market slightly negative on the s p 500 for the second or third time this week, waking up and looking at china. To the data and commentary around that economy right now. New loans extended on chinese banks ranging to the lowest since 2009, there are concerns about what is developing in the worlds secondlargest economy. Tom you look at the income statement dynamics and the Balance Sheet statement dynamics. I agree. I believe i mentioned this the day before. The flows on the Balance Sheet in and out are what matter. This is fbi from us to them off a cliff from them to us. Maybe not a cliff, but it is down. Jonathan the data dropped in the last hour. The response clear from many on the south side. Stop gin weighing in. We will see. We have not seen it. Lisa what kind of stimulus when they are concerned about debt load in local governments . If they want to move away from leverage and create a more sustainable economy, how do they stimulate the economy where you look at these l
Im kriti gupta in london. Tensions in the middle east ratcheting higher after hundreds are killed in a gaza City Hospital blast. Hamas and israel trade blame. President joe biden is set to arrive in the region but will no longer meet with the leaders of jordan, egypt, and the Palestinian Authority after they all pull out a vase of it. A summit. Country garden on the brink of its first default and says it is unlikely to honor offshore payments on time which will feed into concerns over chinas Economic Outlook despite betterthanexpected data. The idea that markets see different crosscurrents and china at the core of it. You are seeing the chinese trade of low volume. A quick check on futures. Risk sentiment is decidedly lower against something that will be coming off the asia session. Your stoxx 50 futures down 0. 3 . Euro stocks 50 futures down 0. 3 . You are not necessarily saying a defensive bid. Nasdaq 100 futures down 0. 2 . Asia is setting the tone for this mornings grade. Trade. T