standby. one thing about the data, if i could just revert to my decision desk mode for one quick second, we have all the vote in now that we will have tonight. but there are still going to be contested ballots that will be part of the canvas that will go through. we would expect, if not the preponderance of them, but the bulk of them, to be probably from places where jones would do better. you tend to find more contested ballots in lower income areas, minority areas, these are going to be areas where he should do better. we should expect the margin to grow out a little but probably for jones and it doesn t look like there is any way that ends up with and half a point. shannon: it looks like continues to move in the other direction. at what point would you expect them to come forward and make that concession? do you think we get it tomorrow? based on his career, i wouldn t be surprised if he starts funding for a recount push. shannon: if you are not within half a point, it is no
back in our office by next friday, the 22nd. the earliest that the vote can be certified will be the 26th of december and the latest will be january the third. so within that window, there are a number of things that have to be processed and executed by the local offices and each one of the 67 counties, as well as our office, the office of the secretary of state. we need to make sure that everything is done according to plan, to ensure that the integrity and preservation of the credibility of this process is secure. shannon: okay. the man we now think is a senator elect, not officially without your certification, but doug jones, appears to have one tonight, the democrat. he s got a lot waiting for him tonight but just so folks are reminded, this is essentially a two-year term for him as he fills the sea that was vacated by jeff sessions when he became the attorney general. you know, two years outcome a lot of people are already running for the seat. how do you think this will play ou
numbers that we are looking at, it could be three, four points, just looking at the projections right now. the real vote total is roughly 9,000. we had 22,044 write-ins. you talked to chris stirewalt earlier about it. 22,000, that is double the difference. there you see the lead is increasing on the real vote total, 670 now. just looking at the map, looking where the votes are, it doesn t seem like it s going to get to that half percent, not even close. more like it s expanding and not contracting. i think eventually, you are going to see from the moore campaign, a concession. shannon: it s interesting because in watching the data we were getting in the fox news water analysis, one of the groups we were really watching them are white evangelicals because i think they went by 90% or more for mitt romney in the last big race, the
moore rally pounding his head into the wall. i think donald trump occupies this interesting space where he triangulate between the steve bannon wing and the mitch mcconnell wing. he goes back and forth and he plays with them both. he supported luther strange and then he supported roy moore to keep that seat. i don t think donald trump is going to get any blame from the conservative voters about those. i think they have taken donald trump out of this equation. it was very much a rory more centric vote. not that we shouldn t learn from it but he was a uniquely flawed candidate. he managed to lose a uniquely republican state. i don t think donald trump is going to get any blame, at least not from republicans, and if democrats try and cast on him, i don t know if it will resonate. i beg to differ. the reason why, if you look at
out and vote on a day when they knew that there write-in probably wouldn t matter, that seems like quite a statement from the folks of alabama. it really is, shannon. it s very important to note that all of those write-in votes will be documented and recorded and printed. so it will be understood exactly who received those votes and what that will mean in the final difference. we actually sent instructions to the probate judge is a couple of times. we ll send them again tonight to make sure they know those votes are supposed to be counted, documented, and recorded. and we will have those in the information that will be received back by our office toward the end of this week, the first of next week. shannon: it will be interesting to see the names that come up. i would imagine we see some jeff sessions and other names from alabama, maybe mo brooks, others who were a part of that initial first become a larger election, before getting us to this runoff. are you surprised that people w