Day. Pete, i come to you. Jpmorgan the quarter was good Loan Loss Provisions were surprisingly good. The commentary today is a surprising show of coronavirus resilience thats what i just read. Why is the stock down . You know, initially it had a nice pop to the up side, scott i think people step back and say the financials, we need to hear a lot more about what theyre going to be able to do at some point in time thats outside of the trading spot because thats another area the Loan Loss Provisions, you just brought that up but how about the trading numbers . The trading numbers are outrageous for them and for citi that is an area we expected to be strong. It was Even Stronger than expected but theres more to the bank than that. I think thats what were going to be struggling with for a while with these financials. And when you look across just about every name, scott, other than Something Like a black rock, asset manager. When you look at the banks and the financial world there, they jus
Good Tuesday Morning im Carl Quintanilla with jon fortt and Julia Boorstin apple is going to be the story of the hour. Their new event is just hours away expected to unveil the latest edition of the iphone, jon likely story of the week in my book. Thats where well start this morning. Joanna stern off the wall street journal joins us product reviewer extraordinary air. Its been a long time since we had an iphone event that wasnt focused primarily on camera and screen quality, i would argue. Maybe back to the iphone 10 where we got face id but this time it might be 5g taking center stage, right supposed to be it speed, speed, speed. That was the tease in the invite last week from apple i think its going to be in 5g, certainly. Processors, processors, processors every year. And i think also we hear a lot of speed in charging this morning it was a i believe it was last night, a Wireless Charging grid that will clip to the back of the new iphones magnetically clip. Should be able to charge
Expectations, both stocks falling. We mentioned somebody was listening in on the Conference Call and it caused that trader to hit the sell button we wont tell you which trader it was just yet. Tim, it wasnt you what did you make of the Conference Call . I think you have a case here where clearly the numbers on the headline looked fantastic. But what was really causing that, that was about provisions, that was about credit quality. Which, its strange because we were complaining that we were fearful that the banks had bigger credit issues that were being possibly seen on the headline and therefore they were putting aside the major reserves what jp morgan look, that beat was a combination of some very strong Investment Banking and fic business but alsos the provisions that came down. Thats something we should everyall be encouraged about with banks bus i think there is more where that came from. But there was some sense this was the only reason. Net margins fell 14 basis points i think ba
The move in Interest Rates, the impact, if any, it could have on that tech trade. Josh, ten year, 78 basis points, 30year highest since june is this going to be a big risk for that growth trade . Im not sure. It certainly could be. But heres the way that i think we want to think about this. If you go back to february of 2018, that is when the curve peaked, right . Then we had several scarce where we thould we would have a thought we would have a yield curve above those levels but were not there and every time we gotten to that level weve had a big fade what i do think is happening now that is notable, theres a big catchup under way, Small Cap Value is on fire Small Cap Value of 5. 5 over the last three days and large cap tech is not giving up much while thats happening it possible you could have both things working at once i still think that if you get the big cap tech names hanging up there toward highs and not serving as a source of cash and then you get this big catchup trade in the
Lets bring in our guests today, arguing that stocks might not be so close to new highs for very long mike wilson, Morgan Stanley, back with us good to see you. Glad to be back. 10 correction is the most likely outcome why is that . Its a continuation from the call we made in september where we got a 10 correction. We walrallied back all this comes back to our framework. We look at the valuation its pretty full volatility has picked up because of the events they know are out there, whether its the virus, the second wave, or the election the premium we believe is a bit understated from where it should be thats all were saying. Its full here these risks are not going away for the next 30 days theyll be with us so, look, the range we put out in august, 3,100 to 3,550 holds. Were still bullish on the vshaped recovery, the call we made a while ago we think its a new bull market. But its risk reward and the risk reward for the upper end of the rage is not that good. If the facts change, could